EUR/USD Price Analysis: A downside break of an ascending triangle looks imminent at 1.0500

  • The confluence of the Ascending Triangle formation and Inverted Flag has strengthened the greenback bulls.
  • Declining 20-EMA at 1.0540 adds to the downside filters.
  • A bearish range shift by the RSI (14) is indicating more weakness ahead.

The EUR/USD pair is juggling in a minor range of 1.0518-1.0531 in the early Tokyo session. Earlier, the asset witnessed a steep fall after failing to sustain above the round-level resistance of 1.0600 on Tuesday.

On a broader note, the asset is auctioning in an Ascending Triangle chart pattern whose upward sloping trendline is placed from 1.0444 while the horizontal resistance is plotted from the previous week’s high at 1.0606. Also, the asset is forming an Inverted Flag pattern that signals a consolidation phase after a downside move. The confluence of the Ascending Triangle formation and Inverted Flag on the hourly scale is bolstering the odds of a downside break of the asset.

The declining 20-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at 1.0540 is indicting more weakness in the counter.

Also, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) (14) has shifted into the bearish range of 20.00-40.00, which adds to the downside filters.

The greenback bulls could strengthen further if the asset drops below the psychological support of 1.0500. An occurrence of the same will drag the asset towards June 22 low at 1.0469. A slippage below June 22 low will expose the asset to more downside levels for the June 17 low at 1.0444.

On the flip side, a decisive move above Monday’s high at 1.0615 will drive the asset towards May 25 high at 1.0642, followed by May 27 low at 1.0697.

EUR/USD hourly chart


Today last price 1.0521
Today Daily Change 0.0002
Today Daily Change % 0.02
Today daily open 1.0519
Daily SMA20 1.0574
Daily SMA50 1.0595
Daily SMA100 1.083
Daily SMA200 1.1127
Previous Daily High 1.0606
Previous Daily Low 1.0503
Previous Weekly High 1.0606
Previous Weekly Low 1.0469
Previous Monthly High 1.0787
Previous Monthly Low 1.035
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 1.0543
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 1.0567
Daily Pivot Point S1 1.048
Daily Pivot Point S2 1.044
Daily Pivot Point S3 1.0377
Daily Pivot Point R1 1.0583
Daily Pivot Point R2 1.0646
Daily Pivot Point R3 1.0685







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