|

NZD/USD trades above 0.5800, over two-month top amid dovish Fed-inspired USD weakness

  • NZD/USD attracts buyers for the fifth straight day amid the dovish Fed-inspired USD weakness.
  • Traders ramped up bets for more Fed rate cuts following Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s comments.
  • A positive risk tone and the RBNZ’s hawkish tilt underpin the Kiwi, further supporting the pair.

The NZD/USD pair holds steady above the 0.5800 mark, close to an over two-month high touched the previous day, during the Asian session. Moreover, the fundamental backdrop favors bullish traders and suggests that the path of least resistance for spot prices remains to the upside.

The US Dollar (USD) slumped to its lowest level since October 24 following the Federal Reserve's (Fed) dovish cut on Thursday, which, in turn, is seen as a key factor acting as a tailwind for the NZD/USD pair. In a widely-expected move, the US central bank lowered interest rates at the end of a two-day meeting, but indicated that it will likely pause its easing cycle in January. Adding to this, policymakers projected just one-quarter-percentage-point cut in 2026, the same outlook as in September.

Investors, however, remained hopeful about further cuts ahead in the wake of Fed Chair Jerome Powell's remarks at the post-meeting press conference. Powell said that the US labor market has significant downside risks and the Fed does not want its policy to push down on job creation. Traders were quick to react and are now pricing in two more rate cuts in 2026. This, along with the upbeat market mood, continues to undermine the safe-haven buck and benefit the perceived riskier Kiwi.

The New Zealand Dollar (NZD) draws additional support from the Reserve Bank of New Zealand's (RBNZ) hawkish outlook on the future policy path. In fact, the RBNZ signaled the end of its easing cycle after lowering its policy rate by 25 bps to the lowest level in more than three years in November. This marks a significant divergence in comparison to dovish Fed expectations and validates the near-term positive outlook for the NZD/USD pair amid the absence of relevant economic releases on Thursday.

US Dollar Price This Month

The table below shows the percentage change of US Dollar (USD) against listed major currencies this month. US Dollar was the strongest against the Japanese Yen.

USDEURGBPJPYCADAUDNZDCHF
USD-0.87%-1.10%-0.31%-1.33%-1.85%-1.42%-0.51%
EUR0.87%-0.23%0.58%-0.47%-0.99%-0.56%0.36%
GBP1.10%0.23%1.06%-0.23%-0.76%-0.33%0.60%
JPY0.31%-0.58%-1.06%-1.03%-1.57%-1.14%-0.22%
CAD1.33%0.47%0.23%1.03%-0.58%-0.06%0.83%
AUD1.85%0.99%0.76%1.57%0.58%0.44%1.37%
NZD1.42%0.56%0.33%1.14%0.06%-0.44%0.93%
CHF0.51%-0.36%-0.60%0.22%-0.83%-1.37%-0.93%

The heat map shows percentage changes of major currencies against each other. The base currency is picked from the left column, while the quote currency is picked from the top row. For example, if you pick the US Dollar from the left column and move along the horizontal line to the Japanese Yen, the percentage change displayed in the box will represent USD (base)/JPY (quote).

Author

Haresh Menghani

Haresh Menghani is a detail-oriented professional with 10+ years of extensive experience in analysing the global financial markets.

More from Haresh Menghani
Share:

Editor's Picks

GBP/USD extends weekly uptrend, trades above 1.3400

GBP/USD clings to moderate gains and holds above 1.3400 in the European session on Friday. The British Pound gains amid optimism on the UK government leadership transition and Bank of England rate hike bets. Meanwhile, the US Dollar loses ground on Middle East de-escalation and receding Fed rate hike expectations.

EUR/USD rises to 1.1450 area on softer USD

EUR/USD continues to edge higher in the European session on Friday and trades near 1.1450. The US Dollar (USD) struggles to find demand as the US says they are committed to finding a diplomatic solution to end the conflict in the Middle East. Later in the day, the Federal Reserve will publish its Semiannual Monetary Policy Report.

Gold seems vulnerable near $4,100 amid Fed hike bets and Iran risks

Gold touches a fresh low during the first half of the European session, with bears looking to extend the intraday descent further below the $4,100 mark. As investors digest Wednesday's less hawkish FOMC Minutes, the US Dollar bounces off over a one-week low, supported by prospects of a US Federal Reserve interest rate hike in 2026 and geopolitical uncertainties.

Canada Unemployment Rate forecast to remain unchanged in June

Markets are anticipating a fairly stable report when Statistics Canada releases its Labour Force Survey on Friday. While the Net Change in Employment is predicted to rise by 10K in June, adding to the 87.8K gain in May, the Unemployment Rate is forecast to stay at 6.6%.

Five sessions, one round trip: Why the whipsaw is exactly what Warsh ordered

Markets opened July with a December hike as the base case and spent five trading sessions unlearning and relearning it. A 57K payrolls print bled the tightening bets out of the strip; a re-shut Strait of Hormuz is pushing them back in. Wednesday's minutes from the June Federal Open Market Committee meeting landed mid-round-trip, describing a world that had already stopped existing.

Five sessions, one round trip: Why the whipsaw is exactly what Warsh ordered

Markets opened July with a December hike as the base case and spent five trading sessions unlearning and relearning it. A 57K payrolls print bled the tightening bets out of the strip; a re-shut Strait of Hormuz is pushing them back in. Wednesday's minutes from the June FOMC meeting landed mid-round-trip, describing a world that had already stopped existing.