|

EUR/USD looking to recover after bouncing off 1.2300

  • The Euro declined with the rest of the risk-based currency market against the Greenback, but Asia market stability sees the EUR rotating from the bottom.
  • German Unemployment, CPI on the docket for Thursday ahead of Easter weekend.

The Euro declined in Wednesday's action as broad markets bid up the US Dollar across the broader currency bloc, reaching into the 1.2300 major handle before bouncing back slightly in the Asia session. The EUR/USD is now treading water around the 1.2325 mark heading into the European market.

Thursday will be seeing a slew of German macro data from within the Eurozone, kicking off with German Unemployment at 08:00 GMT, followed by preliminary Harmonized German CPI at 12:00 GMT. The German Unemployment Rate in March is forecast to come in at 5.3 percent, slightly lower than the previous reading's 5.4 percent, while year-on-year German CPI is expected at 1.6 percent, a healthy uptick from the previous period's 1.2 percent.

A successful beat to the headline figures could see a refreshed bull run in the EUR/USD, but as analysts at Westpac pointed out, slumping economic activity from the Eurozone could be on the cards, and macro numbers could start to disappoint more often than not.

EUR/USD Levels to watch

With Wednesday's Dollar rally on the books, today's action will hang off of the 1.2300 handle; a bearish breakdown will have to clear the major psychological level before running into further support from last week's low of 1.2240, while a bullish correction will run up against the 38.2 Fibo retrace level near 1.2370 with further resistance at the week's current high of 1.3475.

Author

Joshua Gibson

Joshua joins the FXStreet team as an Economics and Finance double major from Vancouver Island University with twelve years' experience as an independent trader focusing on technical analysis.

More from Joshua Gibson
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD consolidates above 0.7000; remains close to monthly top

AUD/USD holds steady above 0.7000 during the Asian session on Friday, trading just below the previous day's monthly low amid diverging forces. A hawkish RBA continues to support the Aussie, while the recent decline in US bond yields keeps the US Dollar depressed near a three-week low. However, oil-driven inflation fears reinforce Fed hike bets, which, along with geopolitical risks, could benefit the safe-haven buck and cap the currency pair.

USD/JPY bounces off one-month low; climbs to 157.00 amid reviving USD demand

USD/JPY rebounds from the 156.00 neighborhood, or a one-month low touched during Friday’s Asian session, with bulls looking to extend momentum beyond 157.00 amid the emergence of some US Dollar buying. Meanwhile, Japan's National CPI rose to a nine-month peak and reaffirmed BoJ rate-hike bets, which could support the Japanese Yen and cap gains for the currency pair.

Gold treads water around $4,000

Gold prices maintain its offered stance in place at the end of the week, hovering around the key $4,000 threshold per troy ounce. The persistent selling bias in the precious metal comes amid decent gains in the US Dollar and an acceptable rebound in US Treasury yields across the curve, all alongside further upside traction in crude oil prices.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin holds the 50-day EMA as Ethereum and XRP face structural resistance

Bitcoin gradually ticks up on Friday, trading above $81,000. The Crypto King has recently defended structural support near $80,000, reinforcing the prevailing bullish outlook. Ethereum similarly edges higher above $2,400, while Ripple trades above $1.32 after testing support around $1.30.

The French bond panic is overdone. Here's what the market is misreading 

France's 10-year government bond yield has climbed above 5%, reigniting fears of a sovereign debt crisis in the Eurozone. With public debt exceeding €3.5 trillion, persistent budget deficits and a fragmented political landscape, investors are increasingly questioning the French government's ability to stabilize its finances.

What November 3 means for the Fed's rate path and the US Dollar

The USD faces a decisive period ahead of the November 3 midterm elections. While markets anticipate another interest rate increase from the Fed in December, the battle for control of Congress could reshape fiscal policy expectations and, indirectly, the path of US monetary policy in 2027.