|

EUR/USD likely moved into a rangebound phase – UOB

FX Strategists at UOB Group now see EUR/USD navigating between the 1.2000-1.2130 range.

Key Quotes

24-hour view: “Our expectation for EUR to test 1.1975 was incorrect as it rebounded strongly from 1.1991 (overnight high of 1.2071). The rebound has scope to extend to 1.2090 but in view of the overbought conditions, a sustained rise above this level is unlikely (next resistance is at 1.2130). Support is at 1.2045 followed by 1.2030.”

Next 1-3 weeks: “On Wednesday (05 May, spot at 1.2015), we noted that ‘downward momentum has improved and a break of 1.1975 would suggest EUR could weaken to 1.1920’. EUR rebounded strongly yesterday and 1.1975 remains intact. While our ‘strong resistance’ level at 1.2080 is not breached (high of 1.2071), downward pressure has more or less dissipated. In other words, the pullback in EUR that started early this week (see annotations in the chart below) is not ready to move lower in a sustained manner. From here, EUR is expected to trade within a range of 1.2000/1.2130.”

Author

Pablo Piovano

Born and bred in Argentina, Pablo has been carrying on with his passion for FX markets and trading since his first college years.

More from Pablo Piovano
Share:

Editor's Picks

GBP/USD loses momentum, flirts with 1.3200

GBP/USD is struggling to maintain its positive bias on Thursday, retreating toward the 1.3200 region in response to the pick in the buying interest around the Greenback. That said, Cable remains under scrutiny as cautious market sentiment keeps investors focused on the US-Iran conflict and political effervescence in the UK.

EUR/USD trims gains, challenges 1.1400

EUR/USD now gives away part of its earlier advance, receding toward the 1.1400 contention zone on Thursday. Meanwhile, the pair’s recovery comes amid extra losses in the US Dollar, at the time when while investors continue to monitor developments in the Middle East and sentiment surrounding global technology stocks.

Gold remains bid and close to $4,100

Gold accelerates its recovery and approaches the key $4,000 mark per troy ounce at the end of the week, adding to Thursday’s advance. However, expectations for a hawkish Fed remain steady and keep the yellow metal’s potential upside contained.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin at $60,000, Ethereum at $1,500, and XRP at $1 face a make-or-break test

Bitcoin (BTC), Ethereum (ETH), and Ripple (XRP) are trading in the red on Friday after three consecutive days of losses, testing their respective make-or-break support levels.

Week ahead – NFP report to challenge Dollar strength and the hawkish Fed

Dollar strength dominates markets, as the hawkish Fed overshadows geopolitics and lower oil prices. NFP week could drive September Fed hike expectations and boost market volatility. The euro lacks fresh bullish catalysts, all eyes on the preliminary inflation report and the ECB Forum.

Regime change: Inside Kevin Warsh's first move to make the Fed unreadable on purpose

The rate did not move. That was the least interesting thing about Kevin Warsh's first meeting in charge of the Fed. The FOMC held its benchmark at 3.50%-3.75% for the fourth straight meeting, exactly as priced, and then the new chair used his first press conference to dismantle the machinery the market has leaned on for a decade.