- EUR/USD is showing signs of life ahead of the ECB
- The European Central Bank (ECB) is sound dovish, acknowledge deterioration in growth.
- Markets seem to have priced in the potential dovish turn by the ECB.
The EUR/USD pair is currently trading at 1.1388, having hit a three-week low of 1.1336 earlier this week. The currency pair could rise above 1.14 ahead of the European Central Bank (ECB) rate decision, the flag breakout on the 15-minute chart indicates.
The central bank is expected to keep policy unchanged today and acknowledge the recent slowdown in the biggest economies of Eurozone - Germany, France, and Italy.
The central bank could also downgrade the bank's economic assessment, arguing that growth risks are now tilted to the downside.
That would imply a dovish turn, something which markets seem to have anticipated and priced well in advance.
Moreover, the rate markets pushed back expectations of the deposit rate hike to mid-2020 in the first week of this month. Further, EUR/USD has dropped more than 200 pips in the last three weeks.
As a result, the downside in the EUR could be limited, unless Draghi uses strong words while describing downside risks to the economy, bolstering hopes of policy easing.
Also, the common currency will likely fly high if Draghi refrains from downgrading the risk assessment. The central bank head may do that as downgrading the risk assets may raise hopes of monetary stimulus, complicating the process of policy normalization.
EUR/USD Technical Levels
EUR/USD
Overview:
Today Last Price: 1.1389
Today Daily change: 7 pips
Today Daily change %: 0.06%
Today Daily Open: 1.1382
Trends:
Daily SMA20: 1.1426
Daily SMA50: 1.1391
Daily SMA100: 1.1456
Daily SMA200: 1.1589
Levels:
Previous Daily High: 1.1396
Previous Daily Low: 1.1351
Previous Weekly High: 1.1491
Previous Weekly Low: 1.1353
Previous Monthly High: 1.1486
Previous Monthly Low: 1.1269
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%: 1.1378
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%: 1.1368
Daily Pivot Point S1: 1.1357
Daily Pivot Point S2: 1.1331
Daily Pivot Point S3: 1.1312
Daily Pivot Point R1: 1.1402
Daily Pivot Point R2: 1.1421
Daily Pivot Point R3: 1.1447
Information on these pages contains forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. Markets and instruments profiled on this page are for informational purposes only and should not in any way come across as a recommendation to buy or sell in these assets. You should do your own thorough research before making any investment decisions. FXStreet does not in any way guarantee that this information is free from mistakes, errors, or material misstatements. It also does not guarantee that this information is of a timely nature. Investing in Open Markets involves a great deal of risk, including the loss of all or a portion of your investment, as well as emotional distress. All risks, losses and costs associated with investing, including total loss of principal, are your responsibility. The views and opinions expressed in this article are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the official policy or position of FXStreet nor its advertisers. The author will not be held responsible for information that is found at the end of links posted on this page.
If not otherwise explicitly mentioned in the body of the article, at the time of writing, the author has no position in any stock mentioned in this article and no business relationship with any company mentioned. The author has not received compensation for writing this article, other than from FXStreet.
FXStreet and the author do not provide personalized recommendations. The author makes no representations as to the accuracy, completeness, or suitability of this information. FXStreet and the author will not be liable for any errors, omissions or any losses, injuries or damages arising from this information and its display or use. Errors and omissions excepted.
The author and FXStreet are not registered investment advisors and nothing in this article is intended to be investment advice.
Recommended content
Editors’ Picks
EUR/USD stabilizes near 1.0800 as trading action turns subdued
EUR/USD holds steady near 1.0800 on Thursday and remains on track to end the day in negative territory following upbeat macroeconomic data releases from the US. The action in financial markets turn subdued as trading volumes thin out heading into Easter holiday.
GBP/USD extends sideways grind above 1.2600
GBP/USD fluctuates in a narrow channel above 1.2600 on Thursday. The better-than-expected Initial Jobless Claims data from the US and the upward revision to the Q4 GDP growth help the USD stay resilient against its rivals and limits the pair's upside.
Gold pulls away from daily highs, holds above $2,200
Gold retreats from daily highs but holds comfortably above $2,200 in the American session on Thursday. The benchmark 10-year US Treasury bond yield stays near 4.2% after upbeat US data and makes it difficult for XAU/USD to gather further bullish momentum.
XRP price falls to $0.60 support as Ripple ruling doesn’t help Coinbase lawsuit against SEC
XRP programmatic sales ruling by Judge Torres was completely rejected by another US Court that ruled in favor of the SEC in a lawsuit against Coinbase.
Portfolio rebalancing and reflation trades emerge into Q2
Yesterday’s price action pointed at a possible end-of-quarter portfolio rebalancing as the session saw the laggards of the quarter like Apple and Tesla gain, and the stars like Microsoft and Nvidia retreat.