|

EUR/USD fails again to break above 1.1250 and retreats toward 1.1200

  • Euro remains sideways above 1.1200 against US dollar. 
  • Greenback strengthens during American session, DXY heads for the highest close in a month. 

The EUR/USD pair rose to the 1.1250 area after the released of the US employment report. It peaked at 1.1248 and pulled back. Recently printed a fresh daily low at 1.1209 and as of writing, trades at 1.1215/20, around the same level it closed last week. 

The move to the downside, back below 1.1225 took placed amid a stronger greenback that gained momentum despite lower US yields. The DXY rose to 97.46, the highest level since Tuesday and it heads for the second-highest close of the year. 

US President Trump cheered the NFP and mentioned that the Federal Reserve should cut rates and stop quantitative tightening. Next week, the FOMC minutes from the latest meeting will be released. In the Eurozone, the ECB will meet. “We expect relatively little out of next week's ECB meeting after TLTROs were announced last month. Details on these are likely to be held back until June, but we'll watch for any hints during the press conference, alongside how Draghi answers the inevitable questions on deposit rate tiering. See our preview”, said TDS analysts. 

Technical outlook

The EUR/USD completed on Friday another day moving between 1.1200 and 1.1250. According to Valeria Bednarik, Chief Analyst at FXStreet the daily chart shows price below all of its moving averages, with the 20 SMA losing downward strength at around 1.1280, “but the longer ones heading firmly south above this last.” She adds that Technical indicators attempted a recovery but failed within negative levels and resumed their declines, keeping the risk skewed to the downside.

“The key levels remain 1.1175 the yearly low being the immediate support, ahead of 1.1120 and 1.1060. To the upside, the mentioned 1.1280 and 1.1330 levels are the ones to watch, with a break above the latest one favoring a corrective movement up to 1.1400”, added Bednarik. 

Author

Matías Salord

Matías started in financial markets in 2008, after graduating in Economics. He was trained in chart analysis and then became an educator. He also studied Journalism. He started writing analyses for specialized websites before joining FXStreet.

More from Matías Salord
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD edges lower below 1.1650 as Middle East tensions fuel US Dollar strength

The EUR/USD pair trades in negative territory around 1.1635 during the early Asian session on Thursday. The US Dollar strengthens against the Euro as escalating Middle East conflict boosts safe-haven flows. Traders brace for the Eurozone Retail Sales and US weekly Initial Jobless Claims reports, which will be released later on Thursday. 

GBP/USD tests key moving averages as growth downgrade weighs

GBP/USD was nearly flat on Wednesday, edging up 0.08% to settle around 1.3370 in a quiet session. The pair has fallen sharply from its late-January high near 1.3870 and is now testing the 200-day Exponential Moving Average, with this week's one-week forex heatmap showing Pound Sterling as one of the worst performers against the US Dollar, down about 1.4% on the week.

Gold benefits from a retreating USD; reduced Fed rate cut bets cap gains

Gold attracts some buyers for the second consecutive day on Thursday amid a modest US Dollar pullback from an over three-month high, though it remains below the $5,200 mark. Wednesday's upbeat US macro data further tempered hopes for three rate cuts by the Fed in 2026. Furthermore, escalating Middle East tensions might continue to benefit the USD's status as the global reserve currency and contribute to capping the bullion.

Morgan Stanley files amended S-1 for spot Bitcoin ETF

Morgan Stanley submitted an amended S-1 filing to the US Securities and Exchange Commission on Wednesday, providing additional details on its proposed Bitcoin exchange-traded fund.

First Venezuela, now Iran: The US-China energy war escalates

At first glance, the latest escalation involving the United States with both Iran and Venezuela looks like another chapter in a long-running geopolitical story. But viewed through a broader strategic lens, something else may be unfolding: Energy.

Bittensor extends recovery despite retail demand slump

Bittensor, a leading Artificial Intelligence token, is aging up above $190 at the time of writing on Wednesday. Steady price increases characterise the broader crypto market, with Bitcoin holding above $71,000 and Ethereum above $2,000.