EUR/USD could reach 1.09 as optimism is continuing to build in the FX options market – ING

FXStreet Insights Team FXStreet

EUR/USD remains gently bid. The pair is set to test resistance at 1.0785 and potentially 1.09, economists at ING report.

Options market turns more bullish

“Measures such as the risk reversal – the cost of a 25 delta EUR/USD call option versus a similar EUR/USD put option – continue to move in favour of EUR/USD upside.”

“As recently as October, the markets were prepared to pay 2% extra in volatility terms for a 3-month 25 delta EUR/USD put option. That skew for Euro puts has now narrowed to 0.67%. The skew turning positive – in favour of EUR/USD calls – would be a big moment for the FX market.”

“The seemingly benign investment environment (despite the horrors in Ukraine) probably has investors wanting to buy EUR/USD on dips.”

“Today's EUR/USD bias looks towards resistance at 1.0785 and potentially towards the 1.09 area tomorrow, should the US CPI release oblige.”

Author

FXStreet Insights Team

FXStreet

The FXStreet Insights Team is a group of journalists that handpicks selected market observations published by renowned experts. The content includes notes by commercial as well as additional insights by internal and external analysts.

EUR/USD struggles to regain momentum in the low1.1600s

EUR/USD is giving some signs of life in the aftermath of two severe days of losses on Wednesday, reclaiming the 1.1600 hurdle and above on the back of the resurgence of a mild selling bias around the US Dollar. Moving forward, the usual US weekly Claims will take centre stage on Thursday ahead of Friday’s crucial NFP data.

GBP/USD appears bid around 1.3370

GBP/USD reverses part of its recent multi-day decline, gathering some balance and managing to reach the 1.3400 region, where some initial resistance seems to have turned up. Cable’s uptick comes in response to some loss of momentum in the Greenback despite the geopolitical scenario remaining fragile.

Gold recovers modestly despite intensifying Middle East crisis

Gold keeps its daily gains well in place, although a break above the $5,200 mark per troy ounce still remains elusive on Wednesday. The yellow metal’s rebound comes in response to the persistent flight-to-safety amid intense geopolitical tensions in the Middle East and the bearish performance of the US Dollar.

XRP rises alongside peers as ETFs attract inflows

Ripple (XRP) is gaining upside momentum, trading above $1.40 at the time of writing on Wednesday. The remittance token is rising in tandem with major crypto assets, including Bitcoin (BTC), which has crossed above the pivotal $70,000 level, and Ethereum (ETH), which is holding above $2,000.

First Venezuela, now Iran: The US-China energy war escalates

At first glance, the latest escalation involving the United States with both Iran and Venezuela looks like another chapter in a long-running geopolitical story. But viewed through a broader strategic lens, something else may be unfolding: Energy.

Bittensor extends recovery despite retail demand slump

Bittensor, a leading Artificial Intelligence token, is aging up above $190 at the time of writing on Wednesday. Steady price increases characterise the broader crypto market, with Bitcoin holding above $71,000 and Ethereum above $2,000.