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EUR/USD bulls are seeking an extension ahead of NFP

  • US dollar bulls take a breather and the euro advances.
  • All eyes are now turning to the US NFPs on Friday.

EUR/USD is currently trading at 1.2057 and higher by some 0.45% on the day travelling between a low of 1.1993 and a high of 1.2071.

The dollar dropped to its lowest point in three days as global market risk appetite improved ahead of a key US jobs report that may provide clues on when the Federal Reserve will dial back monetary stimulus. 

The safe-haven US dollar was last down 0.35% at 91.944 against a basket of peer currencies as measured by the DXY.

The greenback had rebounded from a one-month low over the past week, boosted by economic data that has largely supported the case for a rapid recovery from the pandemic.

The markets are weighing whether a lift in inflation might force the Federal Reserve's hand.

"The USD is likely to continue to respond to the debate about whether or not the Fed’s view that inflation will be transitory is correct," Rabobank strategist Jane Foley said earlier this week.

With several forecasters predicting a one-million-plus increase in nonfarm payrolls, "the USD may continue to find a good level of support in the near-term," with the currency strengthening to $1.19 per euro over a one-month horizon, she said.

So far, however, the central bank's Chair, Jerome Powell, has argued the labour market is far short of where it needs to be to start talking of tapering asset purchases. The Fed has continued to advocate for a lower for longer policy and that it will not raise its benchmark Fed funds rate through 2023.

EUR/USD technical analysis

As can be seen, the bulls have come back for more on the hourly chart, but are facing a wall of daily resistance that may prevent an extension head of the Non-Farm Payrolls event:

EUR/USD

Overview
Today last price1.2056
Today Daily Change0.0051
Today Daily Change %0.42
Today daily open1.2005
 
Trends
Daily SMA201.2018
Daily SMA501.1948
Daily SMA1001.2051
Daily SMA2001.1947
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1.2027
Previous Daily Low1.1986
Previous Weekly High1.215
Previous Weekly Low1.2017
Previous Monthly High1.215
Previous Monthly Low1.1713
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.2002
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.2011
Daily Pivot Point S11.1985
Daily Pivot Point S21.1965
Daily Pivot Point S31.1944
Daily Pivot Point R11.2025
Daily Pivot Point R21.2046
Daily Pivot Point R31.2066


 

Author

Ross J Burland

Ross J Burland, born in England, UK, is a sportsman at heart. He played Rugby and Judo for his county, Kent and the South East of England Rugby team.

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