|

EUR/USD: A phase of consolidation ahead of US CPI, Fed?

Having witnessed a volatile session a day before, EUR/USD extends its overnight side-trend into Europe, fluctuating between gains and losses as dust settles over the US data dump aftermath.

EUR/USD awaits US CPI amid thin trades

Currently, EUR/USD trades almost unchanged at 1.1240, unable to make a decisive break above 1.1250 barrier. The main currency pair is seen oscillating back and forth in a 10-pips narrow range so far this session, almost replicating the range-play witnessed in the Asian session on Thursday.

The major trades directionless and appears in search of fresh incentives as markets continue to assess yesterday’s dataflow from the US, which came out largely disappointing and is expected to weigh on the Fed’s rate hike prospects going forward. The US retail sales, industrial production and PPI missed estimates, while the Philly Fed manufacturing gauge turned out upbeat in the reported month.

Next in focus for the major remains the US CPI data, as the EUR macro calendar remains almost empty for today. Next week, the main highlight remains the FOMC decision due out on Wednesday, which is likely to shape up next direction in the major.

EUR/USD Technical Levels

In terms of technicals, the pair finds the immediate resistance 1.1300 (round number). A break beyond the last, doors will open for a test of 1.1343 (Aug 28 high). On the flip side, the immediate support is placed at 1.1200 (round figure) below which 1.1179/76 (200 & 100-DMA) could be tested.

Author

Dhwani Mehta

Dhwani Mehta

FXStreet

Residing in Mumbai (India), Dhwani is a Senior Analyst and Manager of the Asian session at FXStreet. She has over 10 years of experience in analyzing and covering the global financial markets, with specialization in Forex and commodities markets.

More from Dhwani Mehta
Share:

Editor's Picks

GBP/USD appears well offered near 1.3160

GBP/USD builds on Tuesday’s losses, although it now manages to pick up some pace and bounce off earlier multi-month troughs near 1.3140. The Greenback’s solid performance and continued political turmoil in the UK are keeping Cable under persistent pressure, with little sign of a meaningful recovery.

EUR/USD softens to near 1.1350 as Fed hike bets rise ahead of PCE inflation data

The EUR/USD pair declines to around 1.1355 during the early Asian trading hours on Thursday. The Euro weakens to its lowest level since June 2025 against the US Dollar as traders increase their bets on US interest rate hikes later this year. The US May Personal Consumption Expenditures inflation data will be the highlight on Thursday. 

Gold off YTD lows, still struggles around $4,000 on hawkish Fed bets

Gold is off year-to-date lows, still struggling around $4,000 in the Asian session on Thursday as bears pause following the overnight slump to the lowest level since November 2025. Despite easing inflationary concerns amid falling oil prices, elevated Fed rate-hike bets help the US Dollar preserve its recent strong gains to the highest level since May 2025, weighing on non-yielding bullion.

Crypto market sheds over 50% of its value amid Bitcoin's brief decline below $60K
The crypto market has erased more than half of its value since reaching an all-time high in late 2025. The decline underscores the severity of the recent bear market and lack of a fresh catalyst to revive investor interest, according to a Wednesday X post by The Kobeissi Letter. The total crypto market cap peaked at a record $4.3 trillion on October 6, 2025.
5.90% to 5.45%: Why the Pound ignored the bond market’s relief rally
Keir Starmer resigned on Monday, and the Pound barely moved. That near-silence is the tell. Sterling's real driver these past four months has not been the prime minister, nor the left-leaning frontrunner lining up to replace him, but the long end of the gilt curve, which answers to a force no British politician controls.
Regime change: Inside Kevin Warsh's first move to make the Fed unreadable on purpose

The rate did not move. That was the least interesting thing about Kevin Warsh's first meeting in charge of the Fed. The FOMC held its benchmark at 3.50%-3.75% for the fourth straight meeting, exactly as priced, and then the new chair used his first press conference to dismantle the machinery the market has leaned on for a decade.