EUR/USD ‘a-b-c’ correction over? – Commerzbank


In opinion of Karen Jones, Head of FICC Technical Analysis at Commerzbank, notes the correction higher in spot could be coming to an end.

Key Quotes

EUR/USD remains above the 1.07 area. The Elliott wave count is suggesting that an ‘a-b-c’ correction higher is terminating (we have TD resistance circa 1.0780 on the 240 minute chart) and we look for the 1.0625 near term support line to be eroded - failure here is needed to add weight to the idea that the correction higher is complete and would cast attention back to the 1.0372/40 recent lows. Currently the market looks bid but we have a TD perfected set up on the daily chart and will try small short positions”.

“We remain unable to rule out a move to 1.0820 50% retracement and 1.0875 the December high. This will make little impact on the overall bearish chart”.

1 Week
Avg Forecast 1.0635
100.0%93.0%36.0%0304050607080901000
  • 36% Bullish
  • 57% Bearish
  • 7% Sideways
Bias Bearish
1 Month
Avg Forecast 1.0545
100.0%92.0%21.0%020304050607080901000
  • 21% Bullish
  • 71% Bearish
  • 7% Sideways
Bias Bearish
1 Quarter
Avg Forecast 1.0400
100.0%83.0%18.0%01020304050607080901000
  • 18% Bullish
  • 65% Bearish
  • 18% Sideways
Bias Bearish

 

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