|

EUR/JPY clings to daily gains around 129.00

  • EUR/JPY breaks below 129.00 to new 4-month lows.
  • The risk aversion sentiment deflates somewhat on Tuesday.
  • US housing data next on tap in the calendar.

EUR/JPY bounces off lows in the 128.90/85 band on turnaround Tuesday.

EUR/JPY stays capped by the 129.50 area

The weekly downside in EUR/JPY seems to have met decent contention in the 128.90/85 band so far.

In fact, the prevailing risk aversion now looks subsided and allows a mild recovery in the risk complex, helping the cross to regain some oxygen around the 129.00 neighbourhood.

Renewed coronavirus fears have been sustaining the inflows into the safe haven universe in past sessions, underpinning at the same time the momentum in the Japanese yen and the dollar, while keeping yields depressed.

Furthermore, the current oversold condition of the cross - as per the daily RSI - could spark a near-term technical rebound, although chances of a visit to the 200-day SMA, today at 128.35, remain high.

Earlier in the session, German Producer Prices surpassed consensus in June, rising 1.3% MoM and 8.5% YoY. In addition, the Current Account surplus in Euroland narrowed to €4.3 billion during May. In the US, the focus of attention will be on the housing sector in light of the releases of Building Permits and Housing Starts,

EUR/JPY relevant levels

So far, the cross is gaining 0.07% at 129.07 and a surpass of 130.00 (psychological level) would expose 131.08 (weekly high Jul.13) and then 132.43 (monthly high Jul.1). On the downside, immediate support is located at 128.87 (monthly low Jul.20) seconded by 128.54 (61.8% Fibo of the January-June rally) and finally 128.35 (200-day SMA).

Author

Pablo Piovano

Born and bred in Argentina, Pablo has been carrying on with his passion for FX markets and trading since his first college years.

More from Pablo Piovano
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD recovers further from one-month low set on Friday, eyes mid-1.1800s on weaker USD

The EUR/USD pair is seen building on Friday's late recovery from the 1.1750-1.1740 region, or a nearly one-month trough, and gaining some follow-through positive traction at the start of a new week. The momentum lifts spot prices to the 1.1835 area during the Asian session and is sponsored by a broadly weaker US Dollar.

GBP/USD gathers strength above 1.3500 amid tariff confusion

The GBP/USD pair gains traction to around 1.3520 during the early Asian session on Monday. The US Dollar faces some selling pressure against the Cable as tariff uncertainty lingers. Traders will take more cues from the US Producer Price Index report for January, which will be published later on Friday. 

Gold rallies above $5,150 as Trump’s tariffs boost haven demand

Gold price extends the rally above $5,150 in the Asian session on Monday. The precious metal extends the rally amid US President Donald Trump’s tariff threats and uncertainty, which boost safe-haven flows. US-Iran geopolitical risks also linger, supporting the Gold price upside. 

Week ahead: Markets brace for heightened volatility as event risk dominates

Dollar strength dominates markets as risk appetite remains subdued. A Supreme Court ruling, geopolitics and Fed developments are in focus. Pivotal Nvidia earnings on Wednesday as investors question tech sector weakness. Yen and aussie diverge; both pound and euro could recoup their losses.

Liberation day take two, the tariff machine just changed gears

Let me caveat this from the outset. What we are watching is first-order mechanics, not the grand macro endgame. This is the market’s immediate reflex to a 15% Trump tariff levy dressed up as judicial drama. The Supreme Court blocked Trump tarrif hammer. The White House came back with a scalpel.

Ripple bulls defend key support amid waning retail demand and ETF inflows

XRP ticks up above $1.40 support, but waning retail demand suggests caution. XRP attracts $4 million in spot ETF inflows on Thursday, signaling renewed institutional investor interest.