|

EUR: Dining out on the softer USD – ING

EUR/USD has held onto its gains this week – though that largely looks a function of the slightly softer dollar, ING's FX analyst Chris Turner notes.

Softer US data is needed to justify a move well above 1.16 now

"Yesterday's release of the German ZEW expectations index for November was not particularly encouraging. However, the aggregate ZEW figure for the eurozone as a whole ticked up, questioning whether Germany is increasingly becoming an outlier."

"There is no eurozone data of note today and the focus will be on ECB speakers. Here, Isabel Schnabel is speaking at 1230CET on the subject of: 'Europe Reimagined: The Path to Empowerment'. This sounds like a global euro kind of speech with a call for particular European politicians to reduce fragmentation in the eurozone and pursue policy reforms."

"We're happy that EUR/USD is trading closer to 1.16 than 1.15, but will probably require some softer US data to justify a move well above 1.16 now."

Author

FXStreet Insights Team

The FXStreet Insights Team is a group of journalists that handpicks selected market observations published by renowned experts. The content includes notes by commercial as well as additional insights by internal and external analysts.

More from FXStreet Insights Team
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD slides as AI sell-off rattles Wall Street

The Aussie Dollar dives 0.11% on Thursday as the US Dollar retreats from monthly highs, with safe-haven flows shifting from the Greenback to the Japanese Yen and the Swiss Franc amid losses on Wall Street and US yields. The AUD/USD trades at 0.6960 at the time of writing.

USD/JPY slips below 158.00 as USD retreats

USD/JPY returns to the red below 158.00 in the Asian session on Thursday amid speculation that authorities will step in to prop up the Japanese Yen. Meanwhile, the US Dollar eases from near an 18-month high on profit taking, ignoring Wednesday's hawkish FOMC Minutes and the risk of a further escalation of tensions in the Middle East, adding to the pair's pullback.

Gold clings to daily gains; still below $4,150

Gold regains some composure and climbs back to the vicinity $4,150 mark per troy ounce amid decent gains on Thursday. The yellow metal’s recovery follows some loss of momentum in the US Dollar strength and a decent drop in US Treasury yields across the curve.

XRP downtrend persists as EMA support strains while Binance reserves swell
Ripple (XRP) sellers are gaining ground on Thursday, as the token slips below $1.40. Sell-side pressure remains intense in the broader crypto market, as seen with leading digital assets, including Bitcoin (BTC) currently below $83,000 and Ethereum (ETH), sliding below $2,600. Despite the correction, XRP retains a constructive technical outlook, with support provided by a key moving average cluster.
Three fundamental drivers are all pushing the Euro south. This chart shows them lining up on 1.1000
EUR/USD has already fallen sharply, but the forces pushing the pair lower are becoming increasingly interconnected. French fiscal concerns, renewed energy pressure and an uncomfortable policy dilemma for the European Central Bank (ECB) are colliding with a US economy that continues to give the Federal Reserve (Fed) little reason to turn dovish.
The UK 30-year gilt just hit a 1998 high. Is that good or bad for the British Pound?
The yield on the UK's 30-year government bond, or gilt, went through 6% on October 1 for the first time since early 1998, and on Monday the Pound was at its strongest against the Euro since June 2025. The gilt market's 28-year high is mostly someone else's. Since early May, the 30-year gilt yield has risen about 0.15 of a percentage point and the US 30-year about 0.7.