|

Elliott Wave analysis: Bullish outlook on SP500 and NASDAQ post-AMZN earnings and FOMC [Video]

S&P 500, SPY, NASDAQ 100, QQQ, DAX 40, FTSE 100, ASX200 Elliott Wave Analysis.

In the latest Elliott Wave analysis, the confluence of Amazon (AMZN) earnings, ADP employment figures, and the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) announcement has provided critical signals for the SP500 and NASDAQ. These events have effectively marked the conclusion of the corrective pattern Wave (4), signaling a "risk-on" environment for indices, ETFs, and a broad range of stocks. This shift is a pivotal moment for traders, indicating that market sentiment is favoring more aggressive, bullish positions.

As we approach Thursday's trading session, traders should be aware of the potential retracement dip associated with Wave ii), which serves as a prime setup for long trades. This dip offers an excellent entry point for those looking to capitalize on the anticipated upward movement later in the day and into Friday morning. The retracement is expected to be brief, providing a strategic opportunity for traders to position themselves ahead of the next bullish wave.

In addition to the U.S. indices, the European and Australian markets are also exhibiting a "risk-on" sentiment. Traders are encouraged to utilize the trading levels and abc Elliott corrective patterns to identify optimal trade setups. These patterns provide a structured framework for understanding market movements and can be particularly useful in navigating the current market conditions.

The alignment of fundamental data with Elliott Wave technical analysis underscores the importance of a comprehensive trading strategy. With key support and resistance levels clearly defined, and the market showing strong bullish tendencies, traders have a clear roadmap for potential gains. This week's analysis highlights the importance of staying informed and adaptable in response to market catalysts.

In summary, the combination of AMZN earnings, ADP figures, and the FOMC announcement provides a robust foundation for bullish trading strategies. The anticipated retracement in Wave ii) offers an entry point for long positions, with further upside potential as the week progresses. This analysis is crucial for traders looking to optimize their strategies in the current market environment.

Video chapters 

00:00 - SP 500 (SPX), SPY ETF.

02:38 - NASDAQ (NDX), QQQ ETF.

05:13 - Russell 2000 (RUT) IWM ETF.

06:47 - DAX 40 (DAX).

08:47 - FTSE 100 UKX (UK100).

12:33 - S&P/ASX 200 (XJO).

19:54 - End.

Author

Peter Mathers

Peter Mathers

TradingLounge

Peter Mathers started actively trading in 1982. He began his career at Hoei and Shoin, a Japanese futures trading company.

More from Peter Mathers
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD recovers to 1.1750 region as 2025 draws to a close

Following the bearish action seen in the European session on Wednesday, EUR/USD regains its traction and recovery to the 1.1750 region. Nevertheless, the pair's volatility remains low as trading conditions thin out on the last day of the year.

GBP/USD stays weak near 1.3450 on modest USD recovery

GBP/USD remains under modest beairsh pressure and fluctuates at around 1.3450 on Wednesday. The US Dollar finds fresh demand due to the end-of-the-year position adjustments, weighing on the pair amid the pre-New Year trading lull. 

Gold retreats to $4,300 area, looks to post monthly gains

Gold stays on the back foot on the last day of 2025 and trades near $4,300, possibly pressured by profit-taking and position adjustments. Nevertheless, XAU/USD remains on track to post gains for December and extend its winning streak into a fifth consecutive month.

Bitcoin, Ethereum and XRP prepare for a potential New Year rebound

Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Ripple are holding steady on Wednesday after recording minor gains on the previous day. Technically, Bitcoin could extend gains within a triangle pattern while Ethereum and Ripple face critical overhead resistance. 

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Crypto market outlook for 2026

Year 2025 was volatile, as crypto often is.  Among positive catalysts were favourable regulatory changes in the U.S., rise of Digital Asset Treasuries (DAT), adoption of AI and tokenization of Real-World-Assets (RWA).