|

CVX (Chevron Corporation): Trading higher and supporting oil

Chevron (CVX) has been trading in a huge up-trend since its inception in the market. The Symbol ended a Super-cycle degree back in 2014 and corrected for six years until it found buyers again in 2020. The Elliott Waves Theory basic rule is that the market trends in five waves and correct in three waves as following chart shows:

Chart

It shows the Five waves’ advance and the subdivisions within each impulse. Impulsive structure follows a sequence of 5-9-13-17-21. It is a powerful to trade with it, but also very dangerous when the market trades in the middle of the sequence. Chevron from the all-time low is in the middle of a five waves advance, as we show in the following chart:

Quarterly Chevron Elliott Wave chart

CVX

As we can see from above chart, the Grand Super Cycle is incomplete and now we are trading within wave (III). The wave (III) also comes with its own subdivision which we will show up in the Weekly chart below. However, we can see within the Grand Super Cycle that Chevron will be looking for the $187.00-$219.00 area to end wave (III) Blue. Then the stock should create a multi- year correction and more upside within wave (V) to end the Grand Super Cycle Five waves advance.

Chevron (CVX) weekly Elliott Wave chart

CVX

The weekly chart above shows the internals since the blue box area and the end of wave (II) back in 2020. Since the lows, the stock did a nest or a series of I –((1)) and then created separation to the upside. Presently we should be trading into the end of wave III red with a series of IV and V to reach the target within the higher degree (III). As we can see the market is represents a cycle and each cycle has its own sub-waves. Understanding the subdivision makes life easier for traders. Chevron can end wave III red at 100% since the all-time lows. Afterwards, a reaction lower should be happening to create another chance to buy.

In conclusion, we believe the uptrend in Chevron has years before the Grand Super Cycle ends. We recommend buying the dips in the corrective sequences in 3-7-11-15-19 and never selling the stock. Oil cycles, and very similar to Chevron, will benefit tremendously in the years ahead. Using The Elliott Wave Theory provides us with the map and helps us not to trade in the wrong side.

Author

Elliott Wave Forecast Team

Elliott Wave Forecast Team

ElliottWave-Forecast.com

More from Elliott Wave Forecast Team
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD gains traction to near 1.1800 as tariff uncertainty weighs on US Dollar

The EUR/USD pair holds positive ground around 1.1795 during the early Asian session on Tuesday. The US Dollar weakens against the Euro amid US tariff uncertainty. The release of the US January Producer Price Index report will be in the spotlight later on Friday. 

GBP/USD treads water near 1.3500 as BoE-Fed divergence debate stalls

GBP/USD spent Monday spinning in place as market participants await a fresh catalyst to break the pair out of its recent range. The BoE's February hold came with a surprisingly dovish 5-4 split, and UK Consumer Price Index data last week showed inflation easing to 3.0%, reinforcing the case for earlier rate cuts, with most economists now looking to April or March for the next move. 

Gold climbs above $5,200 on geopolitical tensions, trade uncertainty

Gold price jumps to around $5,230 during the early Asian session on Tuesday. The rally of the precious metal is bolstered by heightened geopolitical tensions and global trade uncertainty following US tariff decisions. Traders brace for the US January Producer Price Index report on Friday for fresh impetus. 

Solana DeFi platform Step Finance to close operations following treasury hack

The Solana based decentralized finance platform Step Finance announced it will end all operations effective immediately following a breach that drained its treasury.

Supreme Court nixes tariffs, Trump teases 15% global tariff

On February 20th, the Supreme Court ruled that Trump’s global tariffs under IEEPA authority were unconstitutional, effectively nullifying the framework. However, the relief was short-lived. Within hours, Trump floated a 15% blanket tariff under an alternative legal authority.

XRP recovers slightly as bearish sentiment dominates crypto market

Ripple is rising above $1.40 at the time of writing on Monday amid fresh tariff-triggered headwinds in the broader cryptocurrency market. The sell-off to $1.33, the token’s intraday low, can be attributed to macroeconomic uncertainty, geopolitical tensions and risk-averse sentiment among other factors.