CNY faces extra downside pressure – Danske Bank

Pablo Piovano FXStreet

The Chinese Yuan faces the likeliness of extra pullbacks, noted Analysts at Danske Bank.

Key Quotes

“Mounting trade tensions between the US and China have put downward pressure on the CNY and the risk of continued CNY weakness remains”.

“China is more vulnerable than the US in the short term, as its economy is already weakening and China is more dependent on exports, while the US enjoys fiscal support and is a more closed economy”.

“We expect pressure on the Chinese economy to lead to further easing by the People’s Bank of China and emphasise the risk of outflows also picking up, supporting the case for a weaker CNY”.

“We revised our USD/CNY and EUR/CNY forecasts higher to target USD/CNY at 6.70 in 12M and EUR/CNY at 8.38 in 12M. While we maintain these here, we stress that risks remain skewed towards a significantly weaker CNY than incorporated in our forecasts”.

Author

Pablo Piovano

FXStreet

Born and bred in Argentina, Pablo has been carrying on with his passion for FX markets and trading since his first college years.

EUR/USD hits two-day highs near 1.1820

EUR/USD picks up pace and reaches two-day tops around 1.1820 at the end of the week. The pair’s move higher comes on the back of renewed weakness in the US Dollar amid growing talk that the Fed could deliver an interest rate cut as early as March. On the docket, the flash US Consumer Sentiment improves to 57.3 in February.

GBP/USD reclaims 1.3600 and above

GBP/USD reverses two straight days of losses, surpassing the key 1.3600 yardstick on Friday. Cable’s rebound comes as the Greenback slips away from two-week highs in response to some profit-taking mood and speculation of Fed rate cuts. In addition, hawkish comments from the BoE’s Pill are also collaborating with the quid’s improvement.

Gold climbs further, focus is back to 45,000

Gold regains upside traction and surpasses the $4,900 mark per troy ounce at the end of the week, shifting its attention to the critical $5,000 region. The move reflects a shift in risk sentiment, driving flows back towards traditional safe haven assets and supporting the yellow metal.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP rebound amid risk-off, $2.6 billion liquidation wave

Bitcoin edges up above $65,000 at the time of writing on Friday, as dust from the recent macro-triggered sell-off settles. The leading altcoin, Ethereum, hovers above $1,900, but resistance at $2,000 caps the upside. Meanwhile, Ripple has recorded the largest intraday jump among the three assets, up over 10% to $1.35.

Three scenarios for Japanese Yen ahead of snap election

The latest polls point to a dominant win for the ruling bloc at the upcoming Japanese snap election. The larger Sanae Takaichi’s mandate, the more investors fear faster implementation of tax cuts and spending plans.

XRP rally extends as modest ETF inflows support recovery

Ripple is accelerating its recovery, trading above $1.36 at the time of writing on Friday, as investors adjust their positions following a turbulent week in the broader crypto market. The remittance token is up over 21% from its intraday low of $1.12.