China mulls massive Special Treasury Issuance to perk GDP – MNI

Dhwani Mehta FXStreet

China is expected to issue over CNY1 trillion of Special Treasury Bonds (STBs) in the third quarter to fill a fiscal gap and to help meet economic and employment targets, MNI reports, quoting policy advisors and market analysts.

The industry experts also called on the central bank to increase liquidity in order to accommodate the massive debt sale.

According to a recent report from Renmin University, the government would see a gap of about CNY2.6 trillion as fiscal income may decrease for the whole year.

To cover the extra spending, analysts predict the government may launch CNY1 trillion to CNY2 trillion of STBs in the third quarter if the State Council proposes the same.

The STBs are likely to be a necessary move if the country insists on a GDP growth target of around 5.5%, MNI notes.

Market reaction

AUD/USD fails to find any inspiration from the above headlines, as it loses 0.39% on the day at 0.6878, at the press time. Meanwhile, USD/CNY drops 0.14% to 6.6972.

Author

Dhwani Mehta

FXStreet

Residing in Mumbai (India), Dhwani is a Senior Analyst and Manager of the Asian session at FXStreet. She has over 10 years of experience in analyzing and covering the global financial markets, with specialization in Forex and commodities markets.

AUD/USD picks up bids above 0.7100 after RBA-speak

AUD/USD picks up bids above 0.7100 in the Asian session on Tuesday, following hawkish comments from RBA Assistant Governor Sarah Hunter and Governor Michele Bullock. However, escalating tensions in the Middle East and the Fed's hawkish outlook remain supportive of the bullish US Dollar undertone, which could limit the pair. The crucial Trump-Xi summit is later this week and remains in focus.

USD/JPY holds small gains near 157.50 as JPY intervention risks loom

USD/JPY posts modest gains while trading near 157.50 in the Asian session on Tuesday as intervention fears help limit losses for the Japanese Yen. However, the BoJ's dovish rate hike to a 31-year high keeps JPY bulls on the back foot. Meanwhile, the US Dollar retains a bullish undertone amid the Fed's hawkish outlook and escalating Middle East tensions, providing tailwinds for the pair.

Gold recedes a tad; still above $4,300

Gold extends its decline for a second straight session, slipping below the $4,300 mark per troy ounce, just to regain some composure afterwards. The precious metal remains under pressure as expectations that the Fed will keep interest rates higher for longer continue to support US Treasury yields and the US Dollar.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP rally slows amid rising ETF inflows

The cryptocurrency market remains elevated on Tuesday, with Bitcoin trading around $85,798, nearly 49% above the year low of $57,756. Ethereum and Ripple trade within a robust bullish outlook above $2,700 and $1.51, respectively.

Energy and risk markets remain in the driver’s seat

US stock markets rallied up 2.26% (Nasdaq) yesterday with AI/tech names leading the advance. The Nasdaq even tested the all-time high reached early June. The likes of the S&P 500 and EuroStoxx50 recovered up to 1.5%. Positive risk vibes and lower energy prices supported consolidation on bond markets following the past month’s heavy losses. European yield curves bull steepened.

BoJ Recap: Not as hawkish as expected

The Bank of Japan (BoJ) raised its short-term interest-rate target to 1.25% from 1.00% in a 7-2 vote, marking another step in the normalisation of monetary policy and widely matching what everyone has been expecting for weeks.