|

Brexit: smooth negotiations to come over coming months and years? - Nomura

Analysts at Nomura are leaning bullish regarding Brexit talks.

Key Quotes:

"The key takeaway for us is that the conditions are just about as good for the UK as they could possibly be."

"We have long argued that from the UK’s perspective, the best backdrop for Brexit talks would be a strong EU economy (outperforming the UK ideally) and a forward-focused pro-European sentiment re-emerging."

"This is the exact backdrop we find." 

"This does not guarantee a smooth set of negotiations over coming months and years, but it makes it more likely."

"We think the EU has every reason to be generous and to put economic interests ahead of political interests – where quite frankly it doesn’t need to worry. We think the trade talks, when we get onto them, will be tough, difficult and may have moments that cause markets to be concerned."

"But the UK has, by chance, found itself operating against the best possible backdrop to give it a chance of a decent deal."

"We will see over Apr-Oct 2018 whether the UK government takes that opportunity."

Author

Ross J Burland

Ross J Burland, born in England, UK, is a sportsman at heart. He played Rugby and Judo for his county, Kent and the South East of England Rugby team.

More from Ross J Burland
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD bounces toward 1.1750 as US Dollar loses strength

EUR/USD returned to the 1.1750 price zone in the American session on Friday, despite falling Wall Street, which indicates risk aversion. Trading conditions remain thin following the New Year holiday and ahead of the weekend, with the focus shifting to US employment and European data scheduled for next week.

GBP/USD nears 1.3500, holds within familiar levels

After testing 1.3400 on the last day of 2025, GBP/USD managed to stage a rebound. Nevertheless, the pair finds it difficult to gather momentum and trades with modest intraday gains at around 1.3490 as market participants remain in holiday mood.

Gold trims intraday gains, approaches $4,300

Gold retreated sharply from the $4,400  area and trades flat for the day in the $4,320 price zone. Choppy trading conditions exacerbated the intraday decline, although XAU/USD bearish case is out of the picture, considering growing expectations for a dovish Fed and persistent geopolitical tensions.

Breaking: US Trump strikes Venezuela, claims President Maduro was captured and flown out of the country

United States (US) President Donald Trump has fulfilled his threats and finally struck Venezuela. Different media reports that explosions in Caracas began around 1:50 am local time on Saturday, leaving multiple areas of the city without power.

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Crypto market outlook for 2026

Year 2025 was volatile, as crypto often is.  Among positive catalysts were favourable regulatory changes in the U.S., rise of Digital Asset Treasuries (DAT), adoption of AI and tokenization of Real-World-Assets (RWA).