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BoE's Taylor: Tariff shock was bigger than anyone expected

Bank of England's external Monetary Policy Committee member Alan Taylor noted a prevailing sense of precaution and concern among firms, adding that the tariff shock had been larger than anticipated.

Key Quotes

  • Erosion of business confidence in UK has continued in REC and PMI surveys.
  • There is a sense of precaution and concern.
  • Tariff shock was bigger than anyone expected.
  • Although there are signs of a pause, we don't know where it will go.
  • Wage settlements data is coming in in line with expectations for slower wage growth.
  • If you wait for every piece of data to confirm a fall in inflation, you will be behind the curve.
  • International dimension is quite perilous.
  • We are a long way from neutral level of interest rates.
  • Neutral rate for me is 2.75–3% in the UK.
  • Central forecast of BoE had 'quite mild' treatment of global trade situation.

Author

Pablo Piovano

Born and bred in Argentina, Pablo has been carrying on with his passion for FX markets and trading since his first college years.

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