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BOE Preview: A 25 bps rate hike but pushback against market pricing – Scotiabank

Analysts at Scotiabank offer a sneak peek at what to expect from the Bank of England’s (BOE) monetary policy announcements due on ‘Super Thursday’ at 1200 GMT.

Key quotes

“We see a 25bps hike but some pushback against market pricing.”

“Market pricing for the BoE has held steady at a 95-100% chance of a hike (in February) and a total of five 25bps hikes by end-2023.”

“We think it’s more likely that the bank delivers only 100bps in rate increases this year, which should eventually act as a headwind for the GBP as markets reprice expectations.”

“We see the 1.36 mark as a near-term ceiling for the GBP.”

“It would take a clear sign from the BoE that it is willing to go above its neutral rate for the pound to test 1.38.”

Read: BOE Preview: Bailey needs to go beyond a rate hike to boost GBP/USD on Super Thursday

Author

Dhwani Mehta

Dhwani Mehta

FXStreet

Residing in Mumbai (India), Dhwani is a Senior Analyst and Manager of the Asian session at FXStreet. She has over 10 years of experience in analyzing and covering the global financial markets, with specialization in Forex and commodities markets.

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