|

AUD/USD wavers around 0.7850, ignores mixed Aussie data amid market optimism

  • AUD/USD trims intraday gains amid US dollar consolidation, Aussie data.
  • Australia Retail Sales eased to 1.3% for March, NAB data for April came in stronger.
  • Market sentiment remains in favor of bulls cheering no Fed tapering, vaccine updates add to the risk-on mood.

AUD/USD wobbles around a 10-week high, recently up 0.08% near 0.7850, during early Monday. The pair struggles to extend Friday’s heavy run-up as Australia Retail Sales eased in March. In doing so, the quote pays a little heed to the National Australia Bank’s (NAB) upbeat sentiment figures as well as mildly bid market sentiment.

The final reading of March’s Aussie Retail Sales stepped back from 1.4% initial forecast and prior. Further, NAB Business Confidence jumps to 26 from 15 whereas NAB Business Conditions rise from 25 to 32.

Read: Aussie Retail Sales: March Final 1.3% vs est 1.4%; prev 1.4%

It should be noted that the news suggesting sooner availability of the Pfizer-BioNTech vaccine in the New South Wales as well as the European Union’s (EU) vaccine deal back the risk-on mood and battle bears. Also on the positive side could be Iran’s absence of flashing fire-words while talking about the nuclear deal with the US.

Alternatively, Brexit jitters and the coronavirus (COVID-19) worries in India, as well as Japan joins the US government’s declaration of emergency over cyberattack on the oil pipeline to test the market sentiment.

Above all, traders are happy after Friday’s strong jobs report that rejected the tapering fears and propelled equities and commodities, not to forget Antipodeans.

Amid these plays, S&P 500 Futures and the US 10-year Treasury yields are mildly bid but the US dollar index (DXY) refrains from declining further below late February lows, marked the previous day.

Moving on, a light calendar keeps AUD/USD traders directed towards the macro news for fresh impulse.

Technical analysis

A daily closing below 0.7820, comprising multiple tops marked since early January, should recall intraday sellers but bears may remain cautious until the pair stays above 0.7710-15 region, including 100-day and 50-day SMA. Alternatively, a sustained trading above the previous hurdle near 0.7820 enables AUD/USD bulls to aim for the 0.8000 psychological magnet. However, the 0.7880 and the 0.7900 resistances levels may test the upside momentum.

Additional important levels

Overview
Today last price0.7849
Today Daily Change5 pips
Today Daily Change %0.06%
Today daily open0.7844
 
Trends
Daily SMA200.7742
Daily SMA500.771
Daily SMA1000.7712
Daily SMA2000.748
 
Levels
Previous Daily High0.7863
Previous Daily Low0.776
Previous Weekly High0.7863
Previous Weekly Low0.7674
Previous Monthly High0.7819
Previous Monthly Low0.7531
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%0.7824
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%0.78
Daily Pivot Point S10.7782
Daily Pivot Point S20.772
Daily Pivot Point S30.768
Daily Pivot Point R10.7885
Daily Pivot Point R20.7925
Daily Pivot Point R30.7987

Author

Anil Panchal

Anil Panchal

FXStreet

Anil Panchal has nearly 15 years of experience in tracking financial markets. With a keen interest in macroeconomics, Anil aptly tracks global news/updates and stays well-informed about the global financial moves and their implications.

More from Anil Panchal
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD meets initial support around 1.1800

EUR/USD remains on the back foot, although it has managed to reverse the initial strong pullback toward the 1.1800 region and regain some balance, hovering around the 1.1850 zone as the NA session draws to a close on Tuesday. Moving forward, market participants will now shift their attention to the release of the FOMC Minutes and US hard data on Wednesday.
 

GBP/USD bounces off lows, retargets 1.3550

After bottoming out just below the 1.3500 yardstick, GBP/USD now gathers some fresh bids and advances to the 1.3530-1.3540 band in the latter part of Tuesday’s session. Cable’s recovery comes as the Greenback surrenders part of its advance, although it keeps the bullish bias well in place for the day.

Gold remains offered below $5,000

Gold stays on the defensive on Tuesday, receding to the sub-$5,000 region per troy ounce on the back of the persistent move higher in the Greenback. The precious metal’s decline is also underpinned by the modest uptick in US Treasury yields across the spectrum.

Ethereum Price Forecast: BitMine extends ETH buying streak, says long-term outlook remains positive

Ethereum (ETH) treasury firm BitMine Immersion continued its weekly purchase of the top altcoin last week after acquiring 45,759 ETH.

UK jobs market weakens, bolstering rate cut hopes

In the UK, the latest jobs report made for difficult reading. Nonetheless, this represents yet another reminder for the Bank of England that they need to act swiftly given the collapse in inflation expected over the coming months. 

Ripple slides to $1.45 as downside risks surge

Ripple edges lower at the time of writing on Tuesday, from the daily open of $1.48, as headwinds persist across the crypto market. A short-term support is emerging at $1.45, but a buildup of bearish positions could further weaken the derivatives market and prolong the correction.