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AUD/USD skids to near 0.7070 as Aussie Consumer Inflation Expectations slip to 5.9%

  • AUD/USD has slipped to near 0.7070 amid a downward shift in Aussie inflation expectations data.
  • The Aussie inflation guidance data has landed at 5.9%, lower than the prior release of 6.3%.
  • A meaningful decline in US CPI may trim Fed’s hawkish guidance.

The AUD/USD pair has dropped to near 0.7070 as the University of Melbourne has released the Aussie Consumer Inflation expectations lower at 5.9%. Earlier, the long-term inflation data landed at 6.3%. A slippage in aussie Consumer Inflation Expectations, which presents the consumer expectations of future inflation during the next 12 months, will force a decline in the guidance by the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA).

The plain-vanilla aussie inflation, which landed at 6.1%, recorded the highest since 1990, for the second quarter of CY2022, higher than the prior release of 5.1%, indicates that the price pressures are still far from over. However, the exhaustion signal should be cherished.

To contain the inflation mess, the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) has already elevated its Official Cash Rate (OCR) to 1.85% after three consecutive 50 basis points (bps) interest rate hike announcements.

Meanwhile, the US dollar index (DXY) displays a lackluster performance in the Asian session. The DXY is sticking to its prior day’s closing price but is likely to re-visit its six-week low at 104.64 recorded Wednesday. The downside shift in the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) forced the market participants to dump the DXY.

The plain-vanilla US inflation landed at 8.5%, lower than the expectations and the prior release of 8.7% and 9.1% on an annual basis. A decent drop in the inflation rate on a yearly basis led by a severe fall in oil prices in July has displayed a meaningful exhaustion signal to the market participants. No doubt, more rate hikes will be announced by the Federal Reserve (Fed). However, the hawkish long-term guidance will witness a severe dent.

AUD/USD

Overview
Today last price0.7077
Today Daily Change-0.0018
Today Daily Change %-0.25
Today daily open0.7095
 
Trends
Daily SMA200.6933
Daily SMA500.6945
Daily SMA1000.7092
Daily SMA2000.7154
 
Levels
Previous Daily High0.711
Previous Daily Low0.6946
Previous Weekly High0.7048
Previous Weekly Low0.6869
Previous Monthly High0.7033
Previous Monthly Low0.668
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%0.7047
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%0.7009
Daily Pivot Point S10.6991
Daily Pivot Point S20.6886
Daily Pivot Point S30.6827
Daily Pivot Point R10.7155
Daily Pivot Point R20.7214
Daily Pivot Point R30.7319

Author

Sagar Dua

Sagar Dua

FXStreet

Sagar Dua is associated with the financial markets from his college days. Along with pursuing post-graduation in Commerce in 2014, he started his markets training with chart analysis.

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