|

AUD/USD recovers lost ground, now eyeing Monday's multi-month tops

The AUD/USD pair reversed RBA minutes-led corrective slide to the 0.7700 handle and is now aiming towards four month highs touched in the previous session.

A fresh wave of greenback selling pressure during mid-European session, with the US Dollar Index extending its bearish slide further below the key 100.00 psychological mark, has been an exclusive driver of the pair's recovery back closer to over 4-month highs touched on Monday. 

Despite of Monday's hawkish comments from the FOMC members - Evans and Harker, supporting the need for additional rate-hikes through 2017, the greenback remained on the back-foot.

The prevalent bearish sentiment surrounding the buck assisted the pair to reversed early losses led by RBA minutes, which highlighted the central bank's concern on highly indebted households and raised alarm on build up of risks associated with the housing market. 

In absence of any major market moving economic releases, the US Dollar price dynamics would continue to be a key determinant of the pair's movement on Tuesday. Later during NY session, the Kansas Fed President Esther George and Cleveland Fed's Loretta Mester would be looked upon for fresh impetus. 

Technical levels to watch

Bulls would be eyeing for a decisive break through multi-month tops resistance near mid-0.7700s, above which the pair seems all set to surpass Nov. 2016 highs resistance near 0.7775-80 region and head towards reclaiming the 0.7800 handle.

On the flip side, retracement back below 0.7725 level now seems to drag the pair below 0.7700 mark towards an intermediate support near 0.7665 region ahead of 0.7630 strong support.

 TREND INDEXOB/OS INDEXVOLATILY INDEX
15MBullishNeutral High
1HBearishNeutral Expanding
4HBullishOverbought Expanding
1DBearishNeutral High
1WBullishNeutral Expanding

Author

Haresh Menghani

Haresh Menghani is a detail-oriented professional with 10+ years of extensive experience in analysing the global financial markets.

More from Haresh Menghani
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD: US Dollar comeback in the makes?

The US Dollar stands victorious at the end of another week, with the EUR/USD pair trading near a four-week low of 1.1742, while the USD retains its strength despite some discouraging American data released at the end of the week. The pair edged higher on Friday, after the United States Supreme Court ruled against President Donald Trump's tariffs, although the advance is not enough to change the latest USD flow.

GBP/USD braces for more pain, as 200-day SMA tested

GBP/USD broke the previous week’s consolidation to the downside, as sellers returned with pomp, smashing the major back toward the levels last seen in late January. The pair tested bids below the 1.3450 barrier as the US Dollar strength largely played out throughout the week, while the Pound Sterling stepped back on expectations of divergent monetary policy outlooks between the Bank of England and the US Federal Reserve.

Gold rises to near $5,100 as Trump’s tariffs boost haven demand, US-Iran talks eyed

Gold price edges higher to near $5,095 during the early Asian session on Monday. The precious metal extends the rally amid US President Donald Trump’s tariff threats and uncertainty, boosting safe-haven flows. 

Week ahead: Markets brace for heightened volatility as event risk dominates

Dollar strength dominates markets as risk appetite remains subdued. A Supreme Court ruling, geopolitics and Fed developments are in focus. Pivotal Nvidia earnings on Wednesday as investors question tech sector weakness. Yen and aussie diverge; both pound and euro could recoup their losses.

Broadening drivers of growth: Unpacking GDP and looking ahead

This week’s data delivered a familiar theme with an important twist. The U.S. economy continues to be shaped by powerful forces in high-tech and AI-related investment, but recent releases suggest the growth story may finally be broadening. At the same time, trade flows are moving in a less supportive direction, reminding us that not all parts of the economy are pulling in sync.

Ripple bulls defend key support amid waning retail demand and ETF inflows

XRP ticks up above $1.40 support, but waning retail demand suggests caution. XRP attracts $4 million in spot ETF inflows on Thursday, signaling renewed institutional investor interest.