|

AUD/USD Price Analysis: Well-set to refresh two-year low around 0.6550

  • AUD/USD remains on the back foot around 29-month low.
  • Trend widening formation, oversold RSI could restrict short-term downside.
  • 50-SMA could test immediate upside, May 2020 bottom can probe bears.

AUD/USD bears attack the 0.6600 threshold while refreshing the multi-month low during Thursday’s Asian session. In doing so, the Aussie pair remains inside a falling megaphone trend widening chart pattern amid the risk-off mood.

Given the bearish chart formation and the risk-aversion, as well as the quote’s sustained trading below the 50-SMA, the AUD/USD prices are likely to refresh the 29-month bottom.

In that case, the stated formation’s support line near 0.6550 could challenge the pair bears before directing them to the May 2020 low near 0.6370.

Should the AUD/USD pair remains bearish past 0.6370, the odds of its slump towards the late March 2020 swing high near 0.6215 can’t be ruled out.

Alternatively, recovery moves will initially aim for the 50-SMA hurdle surrounding 0.6735 before highlighting the stated bearish chart formation’s upper line, close to 0.6865 at the latest.

Even so, the monthly high near 0.6915 and the 0.7000 psychological magnet could challenge the Aussie pair’s further upside before giving control to the bulls.

AUD/USD: Four-hour chart

Trend: Limited downside expected

Additional important levels

Overview
Today last price0.6596
Today Daily Change-0.0033
Today Daily Change %-0.50%
Today daily open0.6629
 
Trends
Daily SMA200.6792
Daily SMA500.6884
Daily SMA1000.6938
Daily SMA2000.71
 
Levels
Previous Daily High0.6706
Previous Daily Low0.6622
Previous Weekly High0.6916
Previous Weekly Low0.667
Previous Monthly High0.7137
Previous Monthly Low0.6835
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%0.6654
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%0.6673
Daily Pivot Point S10.6599
Daily Pivot Point S20.6568
Daily Pivot Point S30.6515
Daily Pivot Point R10.6683
Daily Pivot Point R20.6736
Daily Pivot Point R30.6767

Author

Anil Panchal

Anil Panchal

FXStreet

Anil Panchal has nearly 15 years of experience in tracking financial markets. With a keen interest in macroeconomics, Anil aptly tracks global news/updates and stays well-informed about the global financial moves and their implications.

More from Anil Panchal
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD trades with negative bias around 1.1730 amid recovering USD; downside seems limited

The EUR/USD pair kicks off the new week on a softer note, though it remains within striking distance of the highest level since early October, touched last Thursday. Spot prices currently trade around the 1.1730 region, down less than 0.10% for the day.

GBP/USD holds steady above mid-1.3300s as traders await key data and BoE this week

The GBP/USD pair remains on the defensive during the Asian session on Monday, though it lacks bearish conviction and holds above the 200-day Simple Moving Average pivotal support. Spot prices currently trade around the 1.3360 region, nearly unchanged for the day.

Gold regains traction toward $4,350 in the final full week of 2025

Gold price picks up bids once again toward $4,350 in Asian trading on Monday. The precious metal extends its upside to the highest since October 21 amid the prospect of interest rate cuts by the US Federal Reserve next year. The delayed US Nonfarm Payrolls report for October will be in the spotlight later on Tuesday. 

Top Crypto Losers: DASH, SPX, PENGU – Privacy and meme coins lose ground

Altcoins, including Dash, SPX6900, and Pudgy Penguins, are leading losses as the broader cryptocurrency market remains cautious ahead of the macroeconomic data releases, such as the US Nonfarm payroll report, CPI data, and the Bank of Japan’s rate-hike decision.

Big week ends with big doubts

The S&P 500 continued to push higher yesterday as the US 2-year yield wavered around the 3.50% mark following a Federal Reserve (Fed) rate cut earlier this week that was ultimately perceived as not that hawkish after all. The cut is especially boosting the non-tech pockets of the market.

Aave Price Forecast: AAVE primed for breakout as bullish signals strengthen

Aave (AAVE) price is trading above $204 at the time of writing on Friday and approaching the upper boundary of its descending parallel channel; a breakout from this structure would favor the bulls.