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AUD/USD Price Analysis: Corrects sharply to near 0.6450 as spotlight shifts to Jackson Hole

  • AUD/USD drops sharply as US Dollar recovers ahead of Jackson Hole.
  • Rising deflation risks in China are impacting the Australian Dollar.
  • AUD/USD has remained sideways in a 50-pip range for the past week.

The AUD/USD pair faced selling pressure after failing to recapture the psychological resistance of 0.6500 on Thursday. The Aussie asset has dropped to near 0.6450 as risk-sensitive currencies have come under pressure ahead of the Jackson Hole Symposium.

The US Dollar Index (DXY) rebounds strongly after building a base around 103.30 as investors turn cautious about Federal Reserve (Fed) chair Jerome Powell’s commentary. Investors remain mixed about whether Jerome Powell will emphasize keeping interest rates steady for a longer period or hiking interest rates further.

Meanwhile, the Australian Dollar comes under pressure as market participants expect that the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) will keep the interest rate policy unchanged in September. Also, rising deflation risks in China are impacting the Australian Dollar, which is a proxy to China’s economic growth.

AUD/USD has remained sideways in a 50-pip range for the past week. Broadly, the asset is forming a Bearish Flag chart pattern on an hourly scale. The consolidation part of the aforementioned chart pattern signifies inventory distribution from institutional investors to market participants. A breakdown of the same will result in the continuation of the bearish trend.

The Aussie asset fails to sustain above the 200-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA), which indicates that investors use the pullback move for a selling opportunity.

Adding to that, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) (14) slips below 40.00, which indicates that the bearish momentum has been triggered.

Going forward, a breakdown below August 22 low at 0.6403 will expose the asset to August low at 0.6364, followed by the round-level support at 0.6300.

In an alternate scenario, a recovery move above the intraday high at 0.6490 will drive the asset toward August 9 high at 0.6571. A breach of the latter will expose the asset to August 10 high at 0.6616.

AUD/USD hourly chart

AUD/USD

Overview
Today last price0.6438
Today Daily Change-0.0043
Today Daily Change %-0.66
Today daily open0.6481
 
Trends
Daily SMA200.6525
Daily SMA500.6656
Daily SMA1000.666
Daily SMA2000.673
 
Levels
Previous Daily High0.6482
Previous Daily Low0.6411
Previous Weekly High0.6522
Previous Weekly Low0.6364
Previous Monthly High0.6895
Previous Monthly Low0.6599
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%0.6455
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%0.6438
Daily Pivot Point S10.6434
Daily Pivot Point S20.6387
Daily Pivot Point S30.6363
Daily Pivot Point R10.6505
Daily Pivot Point R20.6528
Daily Pivot Point R30.6575

Author

Sagar Dua

Sagar Dua

FXStreet

Sagar Dua is associated with the financial markets from his college days. Along with pursuing post-graduation in Commerce in 2014, he started his markets training with chart analysis.

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