|

AUD/USD Price Analysis: Challenges 0.6700 as risk-on mood solidifies

  • AUD/USD is facing barricades near 0.6700 as USD Index has attempted a recovery.
  • Sheer volatility is expected from the USD Index as investors are awaiting the US Retail Sales and PPI data.
  • The Australian Dollar is likely to dance to the tunes of the Employment data, which will release on Thursday.

The AUD/USD pair has recovered to near the round-level resistance of 0.6700 in the Asian session. The Aussie asset is struggling to extend its gains ahead, however, the upside seems favored as the US Dollar Index (DXY) has lost its charm further after the decline in the United States Consumer Price Index (CPI) matched expectations.

The US Dollar Index (DXY) has shown a recovery move after printing a fresh monthly low at 103.44. Sheer volatility is expected from the USD Index as investors are awaiting the release of the US Retail Sales and Producer Price Index (PPI) data.

Meanwhile, the Australian Dollar is likely to dance to the tunes of the Employment data, which will release on Thursday. As per the consensus, the Australian economy has added fresh 48.5K jobs in February vs. 11.5K lay-offs registered in January. And, the Unemployment Rate is expected to drop to 3.6% from the former release of 3.7%.

AUD/USD has scaled to near the horizontal resistance plotted from February 27 low at 0.6700. The Aussie asset is facing selling pressure from the market participants and investors should build positions after a decisive move.

Advancing 20-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at 0.6680 is providing a cushion to the Australian Dollar.

Meanwhile, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) (14) is hovering near 60.00. A break into the bullish range of 60.00-80.00 will trigger the upside momentum.

Should the asset break above March 13 high at 0.6717, Aussie bulls would drive the asset toward March 03 high at 0.6775. A breach above the latter would expose the asset to further upside toward February 17 low at 0.6821.

On the contrary, a breakdown of Wednesday’s low at 0.6568 will drag the asset toward the horizontal support plotted from October 4 high at 0.6547 followed by the round-level support at 0.6500.

AUD/USD hourly chart

AUD/USD

Overview
Today last price0.669
Today Daily Change0.0007
Today Daily Change %0.10
Today daily open0.6683
 
Trends
Daily SMA200.6747
Daily SMA500.6881
Daily SMA1000.6771
Daily SMA2000.6772
 
Levels
Previous Daily High0.6696
Previous Daily Low0.6632
Previous Weekly High0.677
Previous Weekly Low0.6564
Previous Monthly High0.7158
Previous Monthly Low0.6698
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%0.6671
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%0.6656
Daily Pivot Point S10.6644
Daily Pivot Point S20.6606
Daily Pivot Point S30.658
Daily Pivot Point R10.6709
Daily Pivot Point R20.6735
Daily Pivot Point R30.6773

Author

Sagar Dua

Sagar Dua

FXStreet

Sagar Dua is associated with the financial markets from his college days. Along with pursuing post-graduation in Commerce in 2014, he started his markets training with chart analysis.

More from Sagar Dua
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD consolidates above 0.7000; remains close to monthly top

AUD/USD holds steady above 0.7000 during the Asian session on Friday, trading just below the previous day's monthly low amid diverging forces. A hawkish RBA continues to support the Aussie, while the recent decline in US bond yields keeps the US Dollar depressed near a three-week low. However, oil-driven inflation fears reinforce Fed hike bets, which, along with geopolitical risks, could benefit the safe-haven buck and cap the currency pair.

USD/JPY bounces off one-month low; climbs to 157.00 amid reviving USD demand

USD/JPY rebounds from the 156.00 neighborhood, or a one-month low touched during Friday’s Asian session, with bulls looking to extend momentum beyond 157.00 amid the emergence of some US Dollar buying. Meanwhile, Japan's National CPI rose to a nine-month peak and reaffirmed BoJ rate-hike bets, which could support the Japanese Yen and cap gains for the currency pair.

Gold treads water around $4,000

Gold prices maintain its offered stance in place at the end of the week, hovering around the key $4,000 threshold per troy ounce. The persistent selling bias in the precious metal comes amid decent gains in the US Dollar and an acceptable rebound in US Treasury yields across the curve, all alongside further upside traction in crude oil prices.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin holds the 50-day EMA as Ethereum and XRP face structural resistance

Bitcoin gradually ticks up on Friday, trading above $81,000. The Crypto King has recently defended structural support near $80,000, reinforcing the prevailing bullish outlook. Ethereum similarly edges higher above $2,400, while Ripple trades above $1.32 after testing support around $1.30.

The French bond panic is overdone. Here's what the market is misreading 

France's 10-year government bond yield has climbed above 5%, reigniting fears of a sovereign debt crisis in the Eurozone. With public debt exceeding €3.5 trillion, persistent budget deficits and a fragmented political landscape, investors are increasingly questioning the French government's ability to stabilize its finances.

What November 3 means for the Fed's rate path and the US Dollar

The USD faces a decisive period ahead of the November 3 midterm elections. While markets anticipate another interest rate increase from the Fed in December, the battle for control of Congress could reshape fiscal policy expectations and, indirectly, the path of US monetary policy in 2027.