|

AUD/USD Price Analysis: Challenges 0.6700 as risk-on mood solidifies

  • AUD/USD is facing barricades near 0.6700 as USD Index has attempted a recovery.
  • Sheer volatility is expected from the USD Index as investors are awaiting the US Retail Sales and PPI data.
  • The Australian Dollar is likely to dance to the tunes of the Employment data, which will release on Thursday.

The AUD/USD pair has recovered to near the round-level resistance of 0.6700 in the Asian session. The Aussie asset is struggling to extend its gains ahead, however, the upside seems favored as the US Dollar Index (DXY) has lost its charm further after the decline in the United States Consumer Price Index (CPI) matched expectations.

The US Dollar Index (DXY) has shown a recovery move after printing a fresh monthly low at 103.44. Sheer volatility is expected from the USD Index as investors are awaiting the release of the US Retail Sales and Producer Price Index (PPI) data.

Meanwhile, the Australian Dollar is likely to dance to the tunes of the Employment data, which will release on Thursday. As per the consensus, the Australian economy has added fresh 48.5K jobs in February vs. 11.5K lay-offs registered in January. And, the Unemployment Rate is expected to drop to 3.6% from the former release of 3.7%.

AUD/USD has scaled to near the horizontal resistance plotted from February 27 low at 0.6700. The Aussie asset is facing selling pressure from the market participants and investors should build positions after a decisive move.

Advancing 20-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at 0.6680 is providing a cushion to the Australian Dollar.

Meanwhile, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) (14) is hovering near 60.00. A break into the bullish range of 60.00-80.00 will trigger the upside momentum.

Should the asset break above March 13 high at 0.6717, Aussie bulls would drive the asset toward March 03 high at 0.6775. A breach above the latter would expose the asset to further upside toward February 17 low at 0.6821.

On the contrary, a breakdown of Wednesday’s low at 0.6568 will drag the asset toward the horizontal support plotted from October 4 high at 0.6547 followed by the round-level support at 0.6500.

AUD/USD hourly chart

AUD/USD

Overview
Today last price0.669
Today Daily Change0.0007
Today Daily Change %0.10
Today daily open0.6683
 
Trends
Daily SMA200.6747
Daily SMA500.6881
Daily SMA1000.6771
Daily SMA2000.6772
 
Levels
Previous Daily High0.6696
Previous Daily Low0.6632
Previous Weekly High0.677
Previous Weekly Low0.6564
Previous Monthly High0.7158
Previous Monthly Low0.6698
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%0.6671
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%0.6656
Daily Pivot Point S10.6644
Daily Pivot Point S20.6606
Daily Pivot Point S30.658
Daily Pivot Point R10.6709
Daily Pivot Point R20.6735
Daily Pivot Point R30.6773

Author

Sagar Dua

Sagar Dua

FXStreet

Sagar Dua is associated with the financial markets from his college days. Along with pursuing post-graduation in Commerce in 2014, he started his markets training with chart analysis.

More from Sagar Dua
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD: Gains remain capped below 1.1800

EUR/USD consolidates its upside below 1.1800 in the European trading hours on Monday. The pair trades listlessly amid a tepid market mood, despite a broadly subdued US Dollar. Mid-tier US Pending Home Sales are next in focus. 

GBP/USD hovers around 1.3500 amid cautious markets

GBP/USD is oscillating around 1.3500 in the European session on Monday, supported by broad US Dollar softness. But the upside appears limited due to thin market conditions heading into the New Year holiday break. 

Gold corrects from record high as profit-taking sets in

Gold price retreats from a record high near $4,550 in European trading on Monday as traders book some profits ahead of holidays. If the US Dollar finds renewed demand, it could also weigh on the precious metal, as it makes Gold more expensive for non-US buyers.

Bitcoin, Ethereum, and XRP bulls regain strength

Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Ripple record roughly 3% gains on Monday, regaining strength mid-holiday season. Despite thin liquidity in the holiday season, BTC and major altcoins are regaining strength as US President Donald Trump pushes peace talks between Russia and Ukraine. The technical outlook for Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Ripple gradually shifts bullish as selling pressure wanes.

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Avalanche struggles near $12 as Grayscale files updated form for ETF

Avalanche trades close to $12 by press time on Wednesday, extending the nearly 2% drop from the previous day. Grayscale filed an updated form to convert its Avalanche-focused Trust into an ETF with the US Securities and Exchange Commission.