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AUD/USD Price Analysis: BPC formation tests bulls below 0.7200

  • AUD/USD retreats from intraday top, stays up for the third consecutive day.
  • 100-SMA, previous support restricts short-term upside amid sluggish MACD.
  • 61.8% Fibonacci retracement lures sellers, bulls have multiple hurdles below 0.7300.

AUD/USD steps back from intraday high to 0.7185 heading into Tuesday’s European session. Even so, the Aussie pair prints a three-day uptrend by the press time.

AUD/USD portrays a Break-Pullback-Continuation (BPC) chart pattern on the four-hour play while observing Thursday’s rising wedge confirmation, followed by a corrective pullback from 50% Fibonacci retracement of December’s advances.

Given the recent U-turn from the previous resistance, the Aussie pair eyes further losses below the 0.7200 round figure, backed by receding bullish bias of the MACD signals.

That said, the latest swing low around 0.7140 acts as immediate support before the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level around the 0.7100 threshold.

Adding to the downside filter is the December 20 bottom surrounding 0.7080, a break of which will make the quote vulnerable to aim for 2021 bottom near 0.6993.

It’s worth noting, however, that buyers will gain confidence on a clear upside break of the 0.7200 mark, comprising the 100-SMA and bearish wedge’s support line, now resistance.

Following that, the last monthly peak near 0.7275 and an upward sloping trend line from mid-December, close to 0.7315, will be in focus.

AUD/USD: Four-hour chart

Trend: Further weakness expected

Additional important levels

Overview
Today last price0.719
Today Daily Change0.0013
Today Daily Change %0.18%
Today daily open0.7177
 
Trends
Daily SMA200.7198
Daily SMA500.722
Daily SMA1000.7287
Daily SMA2000.7433
 
Levels
Previous Daily High0.7203
Previous Daily Low0.7148
Previous Weekly High0.7278
Previous Weekly Low0.713
Previous Monthly High0.7278
Previous Monthly Low0.6993
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%0.7182
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%0.7169
Daily Pivot Point S10.7149
Daily Pivot Point S20.7121
Daily Pivot Point S30.7094
Daily Pivot Point R10.7204
Daily Pivot Point R20.7231
Daily Pivot Point R30.7259

Author

Anil Panchal

Anil Panchal

FXStreet

Anil Panchal has nearly 15 years of experience in tracking financial markets. With a keen interest in macroeconomics, Anil aptly tracks global news/updates and stays well-informed about the global financial moves and their implications.

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