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AUD/USD Price Analysis: 200-EMA probes bears on their way to 0.6550

  • AUD/USD stays sluggish after falling the most since March 2020.
  • Clear downside break of three-week-old support line, bearish MACD signals favor sellers.
  • Horizontal area comprising multiple levels marked since October lure bears.

AUD/USD struggles to defend the 0.6700 threshold as traders lick their wounds early Friday, after witnessing the biggest daily fall in 33 months.

Even so, the Aussie pair remains on the seller’s radar as it keeps the recent downside break of the three-week-old support line, now resistance around 0.6720. Also favoring the AUD/USD sellers are the bearish MACD signals.

However, the 200-Exponential Moving Average (EMA) level surrounding 0.6685 restricts the immediate downside of the Aussie pair.

Following that, the November 21 swing low near 0.6580 may act as an extra downside filter before directing the AUD/USD bears toward the 10-week-old horizontal support area near 0.6550.

Alternatively, recovery moves need to stay beyond the 0.6720 support-turned-resistance line to recall the AUD/USD bulls.

Even so, Monday’s bottom surrounding 0.6730 and the early December high near 0.6815 could challenge the upside momentum.

In a case where AUD/USD stays firmer past 0.6815, the odds of witnessing a run-up toward the monthly high near 0.6895 can’t be ruled out.

Overall, AUD/USD bears are taking a breather after portraying a major downside move. However, the sellers are likely to keep the reins unless staying beyond 0.6720.

AUD/USD: Four-hour chart

Trend: Further downside expected

Additional important levels

Overview
Today last price0.6709
Today Daily Change0.0006
Today Daily Change %0.09%
Today daily open0.6703
 
Trends
Daily SMA200.6738
Daily SMA500.6552
Daily SMA1000.6673
Daily SMA2000.6899
 
Levels
Previous Daily High0.687
Previous Daily Low0.6677
Previous Weekly High0.6851
Previous Weekly Low0.6669
Previous Monthly High0.6801
Previous Monthly Low0.6272
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%0.675
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%0.6796
Daily Pivot Point S10.663
Daily Pivot Point S20.6557
Daily Pivot Point S30.6437
Daily Pivot Point R10.6823
Daily Pivot Point R20.6943
Daily Pivot Point R30.7016

Author

Anil Panchal

Anil Panchal

FXStreet

Anil Panchal has nearly 15 years of experience in tracking financial markets. With a keen interest in macroeconomics, Anil aptly tracks global news/updates and stays well-informed about the global financial moves and their implications.

More from Anil Panchal
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