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AUD/USD peeps above 0.79 on upbeat Aussie wage price index

  • AUD finds bids on better-than-expected Q4 wage growth data. 
  • Horrible Q4 construction work figure could play a spoilsport. 

AUD/USD hit a session high of 0.7902 after the Australian Bureau of Statistics reported a better-than-expected fourth quarter wage growth numbers. 

The Q4 wage price index came in at 0.6 percent quarter-on-quarter, beating the estimated rise of 0.5 percent and up from previous quarter's 0.5 percent. The annualized figure printed at 2.1 percent, bettering the estimate of 2 percent. However, the upbeat wage growth number has not had any positive impact on the Aussie 10-year yield, which continues to trade largely unchanged on the day at 2.89 percent. 

Further, the big drop in the fourth quarter construction work done (-19.4 percent, expected -10.0 percent) is likely working against the AUD bulls. The spot was last seen trading at 0.7893.

AUD/USD Technical Levels

On the upside, a break above .7934 (previous day's high) would shift attention to 0.7989 (Feb. 16 high). A daily close above the same would indicate the rally from the Feb. 9 low of 0.7759 has resumed. In such a scenario, bears would find stuck on a wrong side of the trade, thus unwinding of AUD shorts could end up pushing the spot well above 0.80. 

On the other hand, a sustained move below 0.7871 (upward sloping 50-day MA) could yield a sell-off to 0.7772 (100-day MA + 200-day MA) and 0.7744 (61.8% Fibonacci retracement of Dec-Jan rally). 

 TREND INDEXOB/OS INDEXVOLATILY INDEX
15MBullishNeutral Low
1HBearishNeutral Shrinking
4HBearishNeutral Shrinking
1DStrongly BearishNeutral Shrinking
1WBullishNeutral Expanding

Author

Omkar Godbole

Omkar Godbole

FXStreet Contributor

Omkar Godbole, editor and analyst, joined FXStreet after four years as a research analyst at several Indian brokerage companies.

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