|

AUD/USD loses momentum before reaching 0.7400, focus shifts to RBA

  • AUD/USD touched a daily high of 0.7372 on Monday.
  • US Dollar Index stays flat on the day above 92.00.
  • RBA is expected to keep its policy rate unchanged.

The AUD/USD pair preserved its bullish momentum in the early American session and touched a daily high of 0.7382. However, the pair failed to push higher and was last seen gaining 0.28% on the day at 0.7365.

The upbeat market mood at the start of the week helped the AUD find demand. With Wall Street's main indexes opening in the positive territory following Friday's slide, AUD/USD managed to edge higher in the second half of the day.

Nevertheless, the greenback stays resilient against its rivals and keeps AUD/USD's upside limited. The US Dollar Index is currently unchanged on the day at 92.07.

Earlier in the day, the data from the US showed that the business activity in the US manufacturing sector continued to expand at a robust pace in July. The IHS Markit Manufacturing PMI and the ISM's Manufacturing PMI arrived at 63.4 and 59.5, respectively. The Prices Paid component of the ISM's survey edged lower to 85.7 from 92.1 in June, suggesting that input price pressures softened modestly.

Eyes on RBA's policy announcements

On Tuesday, the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) is expected to keep its policy rate unchanged at 0.1%. In its latest policy meeting, the RBA announced that it will reduce the pace of asset purchases to A$4 billion from A$5 billion and experts think that the bank could opt out to delay that adjustment given the uncertainty caused by the rising cases of Delta variant.

Previewing the event, "market players are anticipating a dovish stance that should put the AUD under selling pressure," said FXStreet Chief Analyst Valeria Bednarik. "From a technical point of view, the AUD/USD pair is bearish. In the daily chart, the pair is developing below a bearish 20 SMA, which extends its decline below the longer ones, providing dynamic resistance at around 0.7405."

Reserve Bank of Australia Preview: Dovish twist as lockdowns continue.

Technical levels to watch for

AUD/USD

Overview
Today last price0.7366
Today Daily Change0.0021
Today Daily Change %0.29
Today daily open0.7345
 
Trends
Daily SMA200.7415
Daily SMA500.7556
Daily SMA1000.7635
Daily SMA2000.7599
 
Levels
Previous Daily High0.7405
Previous Daily Low0.733
Previous Weekly High0.7415
Previous Weekly Low0.7317
Previous Monthly High0.7599
Previous Monthly Low0.7288
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%0.7359
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%0.7376
Daily Pivot Point S10.7315
Daily Pivot Point S20.7285
Daily Pivot Point S30.724
Daily Pivot Point R10.739
Daily Pivot Point R20.7435
Daily Pivot Point R30.7465

Author

Eren Sengezer

As an economist at heart, Eren Sengezer specializes in the assessment of the short-term and long-term impacts of macroeconomic data, central bank policies and political developments on financial assets.

More from Eren Sengezer
Share:

Editor's Picks

GBP/USD extends the drop to 1.3360

GBP/USD builds on Monday’s decline and briefly clinches five-day lows near 1.3360 on Tuesday. Cable’s extra pullback follows the better tone in the Greenback as uncertainty in the Middle East prompts investors to adopt a cautious stance. Meanwhile, an apathetic UK labour market report also collaborates with the selling pressure on the British Pound.

EUR/USD stays offered just above 1.1400

EUR/USD keeps the downtrend well in place for yet another day, challenging the 1.1400 contention zone on Tuesday. The continuation of the selling impulse in spot comes amid decent gains in the US Dollar, which continues to find support in the persistent effervescence surrounding the US-Iran crisis.

Middle East crisis intensifies, Gold up

Gold now seems to have embarked on a consolidative phase below the key $4,100 mark per troy ounce in the latter part of Tuesday’s session. Meanwhile, uncertainty surrounding the Middle East conflict and rising expectations for a hawkish Fed policy outlook are expected to limit the precious metal’s bullish momentum in the near term.

XRP rebounds on rising on-chain activity
Ripple (XRP) ticks up and trades around $1.13 at the time of writing on Tuesday. This rebound aligns with a broader recovery in the cryptocurrency market, attributed to reports that mediators between the United States (US) and Iran are seeking a 10-day cessation of strikes to find a way back to the signed Memorandum of Understanding (MoU).
The Iranian war has again risen
The Iranian war has again risen to the top of the economics factor list. There is no end in sight. Intelligence experts say the current level of offense/retaliation will not change minds in Tehran, while in Washington, Trump fears all-out war, which would mean boots on the ground.
US Dollar mid-year outlook: Exceptional currency, exceptional risks?
The US Dollar enters the second half of 2026 in a markedly different position from a year ago. The King currency has recovered, reflecting persistent US inflation, changing expectations for Fed policy, geopolitical tensions and renewed demand for defensive assets.