|

AUD/USD hits fresh two-month high and retreats

After an initial dip below 0.75 mark, the AUD/USD pair regained traction and spiked to fresh two-month high, reversing previous session's corrective slide. 

Currently trading around 0.7555-60 region, the pair accelerated its recovery move amid some renewed US Dollar selling pressure across the board. Moreover, possibilities of short-term stops getting triggered on a sustained move back above 50-hourly SMA resistance near 0.7540 region could have also collaborated to the pair's sharp spike in the past couple of hours.

Meanwhile, traders also seemed to readjust their positions ahead of ECB monetary policy decision, which might trigger fresh bout volatility in the FX market and provide some fresh impetus for the major.

The pair, however, quickly retreated from multi-week highs on the back of a sharp fall in Copper prices, which tends to weigh on commodity-linked currencies - like the Aussie. 

Later during NA session, US economic docket would assist traders to grab some short-term trading opportunities ahead of the Fed Chair Janet Yellen's appearance and a slew of important Chinese macro data, during early Asian session on Friday. Being Australia's largest trading partner, Chinese economic data has a lasting effect on the Australian Dollar and hence, would help investors to determine the next leg of directional move for the major. 

Technical levels to watch

On a sustained move above 0.7570 region, the momentum is likely to get extended towards 0.7600 handle above which the pair all set to head towards its next major resistance near 0.7645-50 region.

On the flip side, 0.7540 level now seems to act as immediate support, which if broken is likely to drag the pair back towards 0.7500 psychological mark, en-route its next support near 0.7470 region.

1 Week
Avg Forecast 0.7464
100.0%91.0%27.0%0203040506070809010000.10.20.30.40.50.60.70.80.910
  • 27% Bullish
  • 64% Bearish
  • 9% Sideways
Bias Bearish
1 Month
Avg Forecast 0.7383
100.0%87.0%27.0%0203040506070809010000.10.20.30.40.50.60.70.80.910
  • 27% Bullish
  • 60% Bearish
  • 13% Sideways
Bias Bearish
1 Quarter
Avg Forecast 0.7289
100.0%80.0%25.0%0203040506070809010000.10.20.30.40.50.60.70.80.910
  • 25% Bullish
  • 55% Bearish
  • 20% Sideways
Bias Bearish

Author

Haresh Menghani

Haresh Menghani is a detail-oriented professional with 10+ years of extensive experience in analysing the global financial markets.

More from Haresh Menghani
Share:

Editor's Picks

GBP/USD turns negative; slips back to 1.3530

GBP/USD comes under pressure and weakens toward the 1.3530 zone on Tuesday. Cable thus leaves behind two daily upticks in a row and retreats further from Monday’s multi-week tops past 1.3570 following humble gains in the Greenback and disheartening UK jobs data.

EUR/USD comes under pressure near 1.1570

EUR/USD could not sustain the earlier bullish attempt toward the proximity of 1.1600 the figure, coming under fresh downside pressure and revisiting the 1.1580-1.1570 band as the NA session draws to a close on Tuesday. The better tone in the US Dollar in the latter part of the day weighs on the pair amid steady volatility in the Middle East. Looking forward, the release of the FOMC Minutes takes centre stage on Wednesday.

Gold remains offered around $4,350

Gold accelerates its daily correction and revisits the $4,350 zone per troy ounce on Tuesday. The precious metal sets aside two daily advances in a row and follows the absence of direction in the US Dollar, declining US Treasury yields across the curve and continuous uncertainty in the Middle East crisis.

HYPE extends gains as Hyperliquid urges SEC action on pre-IPO futures framework
Hyperliquid (HYPE) retains a broad bullish outlook, trading above $59.00 on Tuesday. The decentralized exchange (DEX) native token marks the second consecutive day of gains as bulls return, eyeing a short-term breakout above $60.00.
Fiscal concerns and doubts on Fed independence send US yields to long-term highs

US Treasury yields keep rising across the curve this week, with the yield for the 30-year Treasury bond reaching its highest level since 2007, during the global financial crisis, at 5.33% so far on Monday. A mix of concerns about the ballooning US fiscal deficit and growing doubts about the Federal Reserve’s Independence are increasing pressure on US Government Bonds.

Why is Crude Oil priced for a reopening the ships haven't made?
Fourteen vessels crossed the Strait of Hormuz on Tuesday. Before the war, the count ran near 120 a day. In the sessions since the waterway was publicly declared open, Brent has drifted back to $87 and West Texas Intermediate (WTI) to $81, both a little lower again on Wednesday, with daily momentum on each unwound from the top of its range in late July to the low twenties now.