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AUD/USD finds intermediate support around 0.7050, risk-off mood still intact

  • AUD/USD has found an intermediate cushion around 0.7050, however, more downside is on cards.
  • Investors have turned risk-averse ahead of the release of the interest rate policy by the Fed.
  • A decline in monthly Australian Retail Sales might ease some troubles for the RBA.

The AUD/USD pair has managed to gauge an intermediate cushion around 0.7050 in the early Asian session. The Aussie asset has witnessed immense selling pressure and is showing a less-confident pullback move, however, the downside is still favored as the risk profile is still negative. Federal Reserve (Fed)’s monetary policy-inspired volatility has forced investors to dump risk-perceived assets vigorously.

S&P500 tumbled on Monday as investors are worried that further interest rate hikes by Fed chair Jerome Powell will escalate recession fears. Consumer spending will get trimmed, employment opportunities will get limited and producers might operate on the lower capacity to augment higher interest rates by the Fed. The US Dollar Index (DXY) delivered a breakout above the critical resistance of 101.80 and drove to near 101.90 as investors underpinned the risk aversion theme. Also, the return generated by 10-year US Treasury bonds scaled above 3.54%.

The Fed is highly likely to announce a hike in interest rates by 25 basis points (bps) to 4.50-4.75% as a significant decline in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) has infused confidence among Fed policymakers that the roadmap of achieving price stability in demonstrating desired results. Also, the street is expecting that the Fed might pause hiking interest rates after pushing them to 4.75-5.00% for the remaining year.

On the Australian front, investors are keeping an eye on Tuesday’s monthly retail sales data, which is expected to display de-growth of 0.3% from the prior release of 1.4%. This might ease some troubles for the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA), which is struggling the cap the stubborn inflation in the Australian economy.

AUD/USD

Overview
Today last price0.706
Today Daily Change-0.0048
Today Daily Change %-0.68
Today daily open0.7108
 
Trends
Daily SMA200.6941
Daily SMA500.6816
Daily SMA1000.6656
Daily SMA2000.6812
 
Levels
Previous Daily High0.713
Previous Daily Low0.7082
Previous Weekly High0.7143
Previous Weekly Low0.696
Previous Monthly High0.6893
Previous Monthly Low0.6629
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%0.71
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%0.7111
Daily Pivot Point S10.7084
Daily Pivot Point S20.7059
Daily Pivot Point S30.7036
Daily Pivot Point R10.7131
Daily Pivot Point R20.7154
Daily Pivot Point R30.7178

Author

Sagar Dua

Sagar Dua

FXStreet

Sagar Dua is associated with the financial markets from his college days. Along with pursuing post-graduation in Commerce in 2014, he started his markets training with chart analysis.

More from Sagar Dua
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