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AUD/USD feels the heat as Yuan and AUD/JPY slide

  • Sliding Yuan seems to have dragged Aussie - the proxy for China, lower with it.
  • AUD/JPY selling may have added to the bearish pressure around the AUD/USD pair.

The AUD/USD pair is likely being dragged lower by Chinese Yuan and AUD/JPY pair.

At press time, the AUD/USD is trading at 0.7370, having clocked a low of 0.7361 and a high of 0.7398 earlier today.

AUD, which is widely considered as a proxy for China, is losing altitude, possibly due to Yuan depreciation. The USD/CNY pair rose to 6.5830 today - the highest level since December 2017. It appears as though China is weakening its currency in order to help the economy absorb shocks from Trump's trade war.

Further, the AUD/JPY is on the retreat likely due to increased demand for anti-risk JPY amid trade war fears. The selling in AUD/JPY could be hurting the AUD/USD.

Also, on the data front, there is little or no good news that would cheer up the AUD. Chinese industrial profits for May came in at 21.1 percent year-on-year following a 21.5 percent rise in April.

Looking ahead - the AUD/USD will likely continue tracking the action in the Chinese Yuan and AUD/JPY pair. Risk reset may stall the slide in the AUD.

AUD/USD Technical Levels

Support: 0.7345 (June 21 low), 0.7327 (61.8% Fib R on Jan 2016 low - Jan 2018 high), 0.73 (psychological level).

Resistance: 0.7401 (100-hour moving average), 0.7444 (June 22 high), 0.7476 (May 30 low).

 TREND INDEXOB/OS INDEXVOLATILY INDEX
15MBearishOversold High
1HBearishOversold High
4HBearishNeutral Low
1DBearishOversold Expanding
1WStrongly BearishNeutral Shrinking

Author

Omkar Godbole

Omkar Godbole

FXStreet Contributor

Omkar Godbole, editor and analyst, joined FXStreet after four years as a research analyst at several Indian brokerage companies.

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