|

AUD/USD aims to surpass 0.6640 ahead of Fed/RBA policy, US ISM PMI in focus

  • AUD/USD is eyeing a break above 0.6640 as USD Index is struggling to extend recovery.
  • Market sentiment is upbeat amid an attempt of rescuing First Republic Bank by private lenders has eased US banking jitters.
  • The RBA is expected to continue a pause on interest rate hikes as Australian inflation is consistently cooling.

The AUD/USD pair is looking to surpass the crucial resistance of 0.6640 in the Asian session. The Aussie asset has stretched its rally as the US Dollar Index (DXY) is struggling in extending its recovery above 101.80. The Australian Dollar will be required immense strength for conquering the 0.6640 amid anxiety ahead of the monetary policy by the Federal Reserve (Fed).

S&P500 futures are having some gains in the Asian session after a bullish Friday, portraying positive market sentiment. An attempt of rescuing First Republic Bank by private lenders has eased US banking jitters. JP Morgan and PNC are submitting a final bid for First Republic Bank in Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (FDIC) auction.

The US Dollar Index (DXY) is facing barricades in extending its rally above 101.80 as investors are divided over further movement. One more interest rate hike of 25 basis points (bps) from the Fed is widely expected as the United States' core inflationary pressures are critically persistent. However, investors will keenly focus on guidance on interest rates.

But before that, US ISM Manufacturing PMI will keep USD Index in action. Investors are anticipating mild gains in PMI figures to 46.6 vs. the prior release of 46.3. New Orders Index data that indicates forward demand is expected to jump to 45.5 from the former release of 44.3.

On the Australian Dollar front, Tuesday’s interest rate decision by the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) will be in focus. Considering the fact that Australian inflation is declining consistently for the past three months and RBA policymakers are anticipating a slowdown in the economy ahead, a continuation of the pause is widely expected.

AUD/USD

Overview
Today last price0.6635
Today Daily Change0.0019
Today Daily Change %0.29
Today daily open0.6616
 
Trends
Daily SMA200.669
Daily SMA500.6698
Daily SMA1000.6793
Daily SMA2000.6737
 
Levels
Previous Daily High0.6642
Previous Daily Low0.6574
Previous Weekly High0.6706
Previous Weekly Low0.6574
Previous Monthly High0.6806
Previous Monthly Low0.6574
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%0.66
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%0.6616
Daily Pivot Point S10.6579
Daily Pivot Point S20.6542
Daily Pivot Point S30.6511
Daily Pivot Point R10.6648
Daily Pivot Point R20.6679
Daily Pivot Point R30.6716

Author

Sagar Dua

Sagar Dua

FXStreet

Sagar Dua is associated with the financial markets from his college days. Along with pursuing post-graduation in Commerce in 2014, he started his markets training with chart analysis.

More from Sagar Dua
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD recovers to 1.1750 region as 2025 draws to a close

Following the bearish action seen in the European session on Wednesday, EUR/USD regains its traction and recovery to the 1.1750 region. Nevertheless, the pair's volatility remains low as trading conditions thin out on the last day of the year.

GBP/USD stays weak near 1.3450 on modest USD recovery

GBP/USD remains under modest beairsh pressure and fluctuates at around 1.3450 on Wednesday. The US Dollar finds fresh demand due to the end-of-the-year position adjustments, weighing on the pair amid the pre-New Year trading lull. 

Gold retreats to $4,300 area, looks to post monthly gains

Gold stays on the back foot on the last day of 2025 and trades near $4,300, possibly pressured by profit-taking and position adjustments. Nevertheless, XAU/USD remains on track to post gains for December and extend its winning streak into a fifth consecutive month.

Bitcoin, Ethereum and XRP prepare for a potential New Year rebound

Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Ripple are holding steady on Wednesday after recording minor gains on the previous day. Technically, Bitcoin could extend gains within a triangle pattern while Ethereum and Ripple face critical overhead resistance. 

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Crypto market outlook for 2026

Year 2025 was volatile, as crypto often is.  Among positive catalysts were favourable regulatory changes in the U.S., rise of Digital Asset Treasuries (DAT), adoption of AI and tokenization of Real-World-Assets (RWA).