|

Asian stocks move higher, lack bullish conviction amid geopolitical risk and ahead of Chinese GDP

  • Asian shares rise on Tuesday and recover a part of the recent heavy losses.
  • Geopolitical risks should cap any optimism ahead of the key Chinese data.
  • Investors this week will further take cues from Fed Chair Powell’s speech.

Asian shares track the overnight strength in the US equity markets and rise higher on Tuesday, recovering a part of the recent losses led by the recent developments in the Middle East. The broader risk sentiment, meanwhile, remains fragile in the wake of the risk of broadening the Israel-Hamas conflict into a wider proxy war with Iran and ahead of this week's important Chinese macro data.

Israeli forces continued their bombardment of Gaza after efforts to arrange a cease-fire stalled. Furthermore, the Israel Defence Forces chief said the army will soon enter the Gaza Strip to decimate the Hamas terror group. Iran, meanwhile, repeated its warning that a ground invasion of the long-blockaded Gaza would be met with a response from other fronts. Israel also faces the possibility of a separate conflict on its northern border with Lebanon after artillery exchanges with the Iran-backed Hezbollah group. This could keep a lid on any optimism in the markets.

Traders might also prefer to wait on the sidelines and look to Wednesday's release of the third-quarter GDP data from China – Asia’s largest economy – before placing fresh bets. The data is expected to show continued weakness in economic growth and further fuel concerns about the worsening conditions in China. Hence, any disappointing Chinese data might take its toll on the global risk sentiment and weigh heavily on Asian stocks. Investors this week will further take cues from Federal Reserve (Fed) Chair Jerome Powell's scheduled speech on Thursday.

In the meantime, elevated US Treasury bond yields might continue to fuel worries about economic headwinds stemming from rising borrowing costs and contribute to capping gains in the equity markets ahead of the quarterly earnings. Market participants now look to the US economic docket, featuring the release of monthly Retail Sales data and Industrial Production figures later during the early North American session. This, along with geopolitics and the US bond yields, will influence the market sentiment and allow traders to grab short-term opportunities.

Author

Haresh Menghani

Haresh Menghani is a detail-oriented professional with 10+ years of extensive experience in analysing the global financial markets.

More from Haresh Menghani
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD remains below 1.1700 amid weakening momentum

EUR/USD remains steady after four days of losses, trading around 1.1680 during the Asian hours on Thursday. On the daily chart, the 14-day Relative Strength Index at 42.6 (neutral-bearish) indicates weakening momentum after slipping below the 50 midline. RSI staying sub-50 would keep bears engaged and limit recovery attempts.

GBP/USD consolidates above mid-1.3400s; bullish potential seems intact

The GBP/USD pair is seen consolidating its heavy losses registered over the past two days and oscillating in a narrow trading band, just above mid-1.3400s during the Asian session on Thursday. However, the fundamental backdrop warrants some caution for bearish traders and before positioning for an extension of the retracement slide from the 1.3565-1.3570 region, or the highest level since September 18, touched on Tuesday.

Gold: Deeper correction or dip-buying likely?

Gold is nursing losses near $4,450 in Asian trading on Thursday, having suffered about a 1% correction from weekly highs of $4,500 on Wednesday. All eyes remain on the geopolitical developments and the incoming US jobless claims data for fresh trading directives.

Top Crypto Losers: Pump.fun, Story, and Pudgy Penguins test key support levels

Pump.fun, Story, and Pudgy Penguins experience intense selling pressure over the last 24 hours. PUMP and IP failed to cross the 50-day Exponential Moving Average, resulting in a pullback on Wednesday, while PENGU is testing its 50-day EMA.

2026 economic outlook: Clear skies but don’t unfasten your seatbelts yet

Most years fade into the background as soon as a new one starts. Not 2025: a year of epochal shifts, in which the macroeconomy was the dog that did not bark. What to expect in 2026? The shocks of 2025 will not be undone, but neither will they be repeated.

XRP battles selling pressure as profit-taking, ETF inflows shape outlook

Ripple (XRP) is trading downward but holding support at $2.22 at the time of writing on Wednesday, as fear spreads across the cryptocurrency market, reversing gains made from the start of the year.