Summary
In this video update, Wells Fargo Senior Economist Mark Vitner and Economist Jamie Feik discuss GDP growth expectations, consumer spending, business investment, the labor market, inflation, interest rates, and more.
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EUR/USD struggles near 1.1850, with all eyes on US CPI data
EUR/USD holds losses while keeping its range near 1.1850 in European trading on Friday. A broadly cautious market environment paired with a steady US Dollar undermines the pair ahead of the critical US CPI data. Meanwhile, the Eurozone Q4 GDP second estimate has little to no impact on the Euro.
GBP/USD recovers above 1.3600, awaits US CPI for fresh impetus
GBP/USD recovers some ground above 1.3600 in the European session on Friday, though it lacks bullish conviction. The US Dollar remains supported amid a softer risk tone and ahead of the US consumer inflation figures due later in the NA session on Friday.
Gold remains below $5,000 as US inflation report looms
Gold retreats from the vicinity of the $5,000 psychological mark, though sticks to its modest intraday gains in the European session. Traders now look forward to the release of the US consumer inflation figures for more cues about the Fed policy path. The outlook will play a key role in influencing the near-term US Dollar price dynamics and provide some meaningful impetus to the non-yielding bullion.
US CPI data set to show modest inflation cooling as markets price in a more hawkish Fed
The US Bureau of Labor Statistics will publish January’s Consumer Price Index data on Friday, delayed by the brief and partial United States government shutdown. The report is expected to show that inflationary pressures eased modestly but also remained above the Federal Reserve’s 2% target.
The weekender: When software turns the blade on itself
Autonomous AI does not just threaten trucking companies and call centers. It challenges the cognitive toll booths that legacy software has charged for decades. This is not a forecast. No one truly knows the end state of AI.
