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Summary
European Market Update – The Aussie buck rallied on the release of the Australian Q1 GDP report, which came in with 0.3% q/q growth, well off the 1.1% q/q growth seen in the previous quarter and matching economists’ median expectation, although there had been some market fears of a negative print (following weak retail sales and capex data over the quarter). The Australian economy hasn’t seen a recession in 103 quarters now (just one quarter shy of 26 years), which apparently matches the Netherland’s growth run (according to Reuters). A successful Short Position was taken yesterday on GBPAUD, with +100 pips gain, while we entered AUDCAD on yesterday’s LIVE WEBINAR, once 20 DAY moving average broke.
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AUD/USD stalls near 0.7150 after RBA Bullock's comments
AUD/USD has paused its uptick to near 0.7150 in the Asian session on Thursday, at a three-year high. Cautious remarks from RBA Governor Bullock seem to cap the Aussie's upside. However, renewed US Dollar weakness cushions the pair's downside ahead of US Jobless Claims data.
USD/JPY strengthens above 153.00 despite stronger US jobs data
The USD/JPY pair attracts some sellers to around 153.20 during the early Asian session on Thursday. The Japanese Yen strengthens against the US Dollar in the aftermath of Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi's landslide election victory. The attention will shift to the US Consumer Price Index inflation report, which is due later on Friday.
Gold posts modest gains above $5,050 as US-Iran tensions persist despite strong labor data
Gold price trades in positive territory near $5,060 during the early Asian session on Thursday. The precious metal edges higher despite stronger-than-expected US employment data. The release of the US Consumer Price Index inflation report will take center stage later on Friday.
Bitcoin holds steady despite strong US labour market
Bitcoin briefly bounced from $66,000 to above $68,000 but slightly reversed those gains following Wednesday's US January jobs report. The top crypto is hovering around $67,000, down 2% over the past 24 hours as of writing on Wednesday.
The market trades the path not the past
The payroll number did not just beat. It reset the tone. 130,000 vs. 65,000 expected, with a 35,000 whisper. 79 of 80 economists leaning the wrong way. Unemployment and underemployment are edging lower. For all the statistical fog around birth-death adjustments and seasonal quirks, the core message was unmistakable. The labour market is not cracking.
Here is what you need to know on Thursday, February 12:
The United States (US) released stronger-than-expected US Nonfarm Payrolls report for January, adding 130K jobs in quite an auspicious start to the year, while the Unemployment Rate ticked lower to 4.3%, and Average Hourly Earnings held steady at 3.7% over the last twelve months.