Summary
The Day So Far
When reviewing the weekend news this morning the most surprising thing I found was the market’s renewed interest in the Dutch election. It would appear that given the obsession with the Fed’s March hike and the possibility of a Le Pen win the market had become someone what complacent about the close proximity of the election and with only two more days until the voting booths open traders interest has begun to perk up with the Dutch/German 10-yr yield spread widening this morning.
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USD/JPY rebounds firmly to 150.00 on the expected BoJ rate hike
USD/JPY rallied to test 150.00, as the Japanese Yen tumbled amid a classic 'sell the fact' trading on the hawkish BoJ decision. The BoJ lifted the interest rate by 10 basis points (bps) from -0.1% to 0% for the first time since 2007 and abandoned the YCC framework.
AUD/USD drops toward 0.6500 after RBA's steady policy
AUD/USD is extending losses toward 0.6500 in Asian trading on Tuesday. The Aussie Dollar remains offered after the Reserve Bank of Australia extended the pause while markets digest the less hawkish policy statement ahead of Governor Bullock's press conference.
Gold price flat-lines above one-week low, awaits the crucial Fed decision on Wednesday
Gold price oscillates in a range and is influenced by a combination of diverging forces. Hawkish Fed expectations, elevated US bond yields and a bullish USD cap the upside. Geopolitical risks lend some support to the XAU/USD ahead of the key FOMC meeting.
Bitcoin price shows weakness, but new BTC whales have created solid support at $56,400
Bitcoin price downside momentum continues to gain strength, giving sidelined and late bulls a chance to buy the dip. The market remains focussed on the oncoming halving, expected to kick off the next bull cycle. For the meantime, however, spot BTC ETFs remain the main play in the market.
Lots of tension ahead of this week's Fed decision
Last week, we got a strong round of US economic data accompanied by hotter US inflation reads. The takeaway of course is that there might be a lot more pressure on the Fed to be looking to scale back its rate cut outlook at this week’s meeting.