Raj Ian G Thijm, MBA
Raj Time and Cycles
In my last public blogpost, I was looking for a 5/27 high +/-1
From the 5/30 Raj T&C Weekend Email: “The dominant cycle suggests we are generally higher into 5/27-31H at 2100+ SPX. It then suggest a few days pullback into 6/1-2L at the 6/12 Solar and 6/2 Geo CIT, followed by another rally into 6/10H, retesting the 5/20/15 ATH at 2134.72 SPX”
Actual: We rallied into a 5/31H,1 day from the 5/27H, declined into 6/1 Low at 2085.10 SPX, chopped for 2 days into 6/3 double bottom, before we rallied into 6/8 High at 2120.55 SPX so far. The Cycle High may have arrived 2 days earlier. Normally the cycle is exact or off by 1 day and at one other time at the 4/22 High, it was off 2 days. Swing traders that were long from the 5/19 Low at 2026 SPX made 60+ SP’s profits today, which is $3000/Emini Contract (each mini SP is $50/point) and those that just went long from the 6/1L at 2085 SPX made 17 SP’s or $850/Emini contract today.
The dominant cycle saw 14 “hits” and 1 miss: 2/11L, 2/24L, 3/4H, 3/11L(-1), 3/17H (miss), 3/28L(-1), 3/31H(+1), 4/12L, 4/22H (-2), 4/27H, 5/4L, 5/6L, 5/12H (-2), 5/19L, 5/27H, 6/1L
What’s Next: We make a 6/10+/-2 major swing High of the Month and start a volatile decline. The dominant cycle is a historic cycle that predicts exact Highs and Lows +/-1-2 days. The cycle suggests to be prepared for some large volatile swings, both Up and down in the coming weeks.
Trading in Stocks, ETF, Options and Futures involve risks. Trade at your own Risk. Do your own homework. The contents of this blog are for general information and educational purposes only and should not be construed as an investment advice strategy. Past performance is no guarantee of future results.
Editors’ Picks
EUR/USD trims gains, back below 1.1800
EUR/USD now loses some upside momentum, returning to the area below the 1.1800 support as the Greenback manages to regain some composure following the SCOTUS-led pullback earlier in the session.
GBP/USD off highs, recedes to the sub-1.3500 area
Following earlier highs north of 1.3500 the figure, GBP/USD now faces some renewed downside pressure, revisiting the 1.3490 zone as the US Dollar manages to regain some upside impulse in the latter part of the NA session on Friday.
USD/JPY sticks to gains above 155.00, over one-week top ahead of US data
The USD/JPY pair gains positive traction for the third straight day and climbs to over a one-week top, around the 155.35-155.40 region. Data released early today showed that Japan’s key inflation gauge eased to the slowest pace in two years, tempering expectations for an immediate policy tightening by the Bank of Japan.
Editors’ Picks
EUR/USD: US Dollar comeback in the makes? Premium
The US Dollar (USD) stands victorious at the end of another week, with the EUR/USD pair trading near a four-week low of 1.1742, while the USD retains its strength despite some discouraging American data released at the end of the week.
Gold: Escalating geopolitical tensions help limit losses Premium
Gold (XAU/USD) struggled to make a decisive move in either direction this week as it quickly recovered above $5,000 after posting losses on Monday and Tuesday.
GBP/USD: Pound Sterling braces for more pain, as 200-day SMA tested Premium
The Pound Sterling (GBP) crashed to its lowest level in a month against the US Dollar (USD), as critical support levels were breached in a data-packed week.
Bitcoin: No recovery in sight
Bitcoin (BTC) price continues to trade within a range-bound zone, hovering around $67,000 at the time of writing on Friday, and falling slightly so far this week, with no signs of recovery.
US Dollar: Tariffed. Now What? Premium
The US Dollar (USD) reversed its previous week’s decline, managing to stage a meaningful rebound and retesting the area just above the 98.00 barrier when tracked by the US Dollar Index (DXY).
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