Raj Ian G Thijm, MBA
Raj Time and Cycles
In my last public blogpost, I was looking for a 5/27 high +/-1
From the 5/30 Raj T&C Weekend Email: “The dominant cycle suggests we are generally higher into 5/27-31H at 2100+ SPX. It then suggest a few days pullback into 6/1-2L at the 6/12 Solar and 6/2 Geo CIT, followed by another rally into 6/10H, retesting the 5/20/15 ATH at 2134.72 SPX”
Actual: We rallied into a 5/31H,1 day from the 5/27H, declined into 6/1 Low at 2085.10 SPX, chopped for 2 days into 6/3 double bottom, before we rallied into 6/8 High at 2120.55 SPX so far. The Cycle High may have arrived 2 days earlier. Normally the cycle is exact or off by 1 day and at one other time at the 4/22 High, it was off 2 days. Swing traders that were long from the 5/19 Low at 2026 SPX made 60+ SP’s profits today, which is $3000/Emini Contract (each mini SP is $50/point) and those that just went long from the 6/1L at 2085 SPX made 17 SP’s or $850/Emini contract today.
The dominant cycle saw 14 “hits” and 1 miss: 2/11L, 2/24L, 3/4H, 3/11L(-1), 3/17H (miss), 3/28L(-1), 3/31H(+1), 4/12L, 4/22H (-2), 4/27H, 5/4L, 5/6L, 5/12H (-2), 5/19L, 5/27H, 6/1L
What’s Next: We make a 6/10+/-2 major swing High of the Month and start a volatile decline. The dominant cycle is a historic cycle that predicts exact Highs and Lows +/-1-2 days. The cycle suggests to be prepared for some large volatile swings, both Up and down in the coming weeks.
Trading in Stocks, ETF, Options and Futures involve risks. Trade at your own Risk. Do your own homework. The contents of this blog are for general information and educational purposes only and should not be construed as an investment advice strategy. Past performance is no guarantee of future results.
Editors’ Picks
EUR/USD recovers further from one-month low set on Friday, eyes mid-1.1800s on weaker USD
The EUR/USD pair is seen building on Friday's late recovery from the 1.1750-1.1740 region, or a nearly one-month trough, and gaining some follow-through positive traction at the start of a new week. The momentum lifts spot prices to the 1.1835 area during the Asian session and is sponsored by a broadly weaker US Dollar.
GBP/USD gathers strength above 1.3500 amid tariff confusion
The GBP/USD pair gains traction to around 1.3520 during the early Asian session on Monday. The US Dollar faces some selling pressure against the Cable as tariff uncertainty lingers. Traders will take more cues from the US Producer Price Index report for January, which will be published later on Friday.
USD/JPY: Japanese Yen rises as tariff woes rattle markets
USD/JPY slides to test 154.00 in the Asian trading hours on Monday. The Japanese Yen attracts haven demand amid tariff uncertainty, which weighs negatively on market sentiment and the US Dollar.
Editors’ Picks
USD/JPY: Japanese Yen rises as tariff woes rattle markets
USD/JPY slides to test 154.00 in the Asian trading hours on Monday. The Japanese Yen attracts haven demand amid tariff uncertainty, which weighs negatively on market sentiment and the US Dollar.
Gold eyes a daily closing above key 61.8% Fibo resistance
Gold is adding over 1% early Monday, after having gained 2% on Friday. The bright metal scales key technical hurdles, as buyers stay strong amid renewed tariffs and economic uncertainty alongside looming US-Iran geopolitical tensions.
AUD/USD struggles below 0.7100 as trade tensions weigh
AUD/USD eases back below the 0.7100 mark during the Asian session on Monday as trade-related uncertainties continue to sag investors' confidence. However, the downside in the pair ciould be cushioned by a broadly weaker US Dollar and expectations of dfivergent monetary policy outlook between the Fed and the RBA.
Top Crypto Losers: Zcash, Pump.fun, and LayerZero extended losses as Bitcoin loses $65,000
The cryptocurrency market starts the week in panic mode, with altcoins Zcash, Pump.fun, and LayerZero. Bitcoin falls below $65,000 as the US President Donald Trump regroups amid renewed trade policy risks.
Liberation day take two, the tariff machine just changed gears
Let me caveat this from the outset. What we are watching is first-order mechanics, not the grand macro endgame. This is the market’s immediate reflex to a 15% Trump tariff levy dressed up as judicial drama. The Supreme Court blocked Trump tarrif hammer. The White House came back with a scalpel.
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