This article written by Maite Krausse was originally published in the november 2014 issue of Traders' Magazine.

  • Maite Krausse has been interested in the stock markets since taking her degree in business administration. Today she is a professional day trader and is specialised on forex. Her husband and Maite offer professional support to traders – finding daily trading signals, analysis and tips.

How to Trade Breakouts in Forex

It is always the same question for traders of all experience-levels in Forex: Which strategy achieves the most profit and which trading system will save the account in the forex market? We cannot promise the Holy Grail, because it simply does not exist in trading. But there is a helpful strategy that achieves high profits in volatile market phases: the breakout strategy.

Simple Approach – Huge Effect 

Breakouts are best used with the majors, the five major currency pairs. We use the volatile trading times of the European and American trading session (8 am until 10 pm Central European Time) to cover the fundamental events. The price range that the price shall “break” is formed from 12 am to 8 am CET and offers the trader the basic trading approach for the following day at 8 am. This  range is valid for the particular day – you’ll define it again on the next day and therefore this strategy is useful for day traders. The highs until 8 am are the upper border and the resistance level and the lows are the support levels. If the price exceeds the high or undercuts the low, the buy order above the high or the sell order below the low is executed. The trader does not need to watch the chart the whole time – we enter pending orders at 8 am for the buy and sell entries. As soon as a buy or sell order is executed the trade is managed all day – we use a 1:2 risk-reward ratio on quiet days and a risk-reward ratio of 1:4 on economically important days, for example a Fed decision regarding interest rates. We do not risk more than one or two per cent of trading capital per trade – in contrast to four or eight per cent of profit possibility. Trade management is simple with an automatic trailing stop of 15 to 25 pips.   

Entries 

We observe the price range between 12 am to 8 am CET in the 15-minute chart. During this time we determine the highs and lows. We enter two to five pips above the high or two to five pips below the low. Furthermore, we look at support and resistance levels in the hourly chart. We determine sell orders above resistance and sell orders below support. 

Exits 

Greed is one of the cardinal sins in trading. But every trader knows the feeling of a trade in profit and you want to achieve even  more pips. This is a very human feeling and therefore you need a strong trading plan with fixed take-profit rules. We calculate it based on the RRR and we follow it strictly. For example, we can determine the stop-loss (SL) at 20 to 30 pips. The take profit (TP) is determined at 40 to 100 pips, depending on market fluctuation. We choose a smaller TP in quiet market phases and a higher TP on days of interest rate decisions and other big events. If a trade is stopped out with a loss, we can re-enter on the same day, again with a pending order. The breakout strategy is now clearly determined and that helps the psyche of the trader – cancelling out greed and fear. You should always follow your entry and exit rules and you should accept false breakouts or huge profits after your TP.   



Editors’ Picks

EUR/USD hovers around nine-day EMA above 1.1800

EUR/USD hovers around nine-day EMA above 1.1800

EUR/USD remains in the positive territory after registering modest gains in the previous session, trading around 1.1820 during the Asian hours on Monday. The 14-day Relative Strength Index momentum indicator at 54 is edging higher, signaling improving momentum. RSI near mid-50s keeps momentum balanced. A sustained push above 60 would firm bullish control.

GBP/USD holds medium-term bullish bias above 1.3600

GBP/USD holds medium-term bullish bias above 1.3600

The GBP/USD pair trades on a softer note around 1.3605 during the early European session on Monday. Growing expectation of the Bank of England’s interest-rate cut weighs on the Pound Sterling against the Greenback. 

USD/JPY drops back below 157.00 on Japan's verbal intervention

USD/JPY drops back below 157.00 on Japan's verbal intervention

USD/JPY has come under moderate selling pressure below 157.00 in the Asian session on Monday. The Japanese Yen lost ground to near 157.70 following Japan’s ruling Liberal Democratic Party's outright majority win in Sunday’s lower house election, opening the door to more fiscal stimulus by Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi. However, JPY buyers jumped back and dragged the pair southward on FX verbal intervention by Japan’s Finance Minister Katayama.


Editors’ Picks

EUR/USD hovers around nine-day EMA above 1.1800

EUR/USD hovers around nine-day EMA above 1.1800

EUR/USD remains in the positive territory after registering modest gains in the previous session, trading around 1.1820 during the Asian hours on Monday. The 14-day Relative Strength Index momentum indicator at 54 is edging higher, signaling improving momentum. RSI near mid-50s keeps momentum balanced. A sustained push above 60 would firm bullish control.

Gold sticks to gains above $5,000 as China's buying and Fed rate-cut bets drive demand

Gold sticks to gains above $5,000 as China's buying and Fed rate-cut bets drive demand

Gold surges past the $5,000 psychological mark during the Asian session on Monday in reaction to the weekend data, showing that the People's Bank of China extended its buying spree for a 15th month in January. Moreover, dovish US Federal Reserve expectations and concerns about the central bank's independence drag the US Dollar lower for the second straight day, providing an additional boost to the non-yielding yellow metal. 

GBP/USD holds medium-term bullish bias above 1.3600

GBP/USD holds medium-term bullish bias above 1.3600

The GBP/USD pair trades on a softer note around 1.3605 during the early European session on Monday. Growing expectation of the Bank of England’s interest-rate cut weighs on the Pound Sterling against the Greenback. 

Bitcoin, Ethereum and Ripple consolidate after massive sell-off

Bitcoin, Ethereum and Ripple consolidate after massive sell-off

Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Ripple prices consolidated on Monday after correcting by nearly 9%, 8%, and 10% in the previous week, respectively. BTC is hovering around $70,000, while ETH and XRP are facing rejection at key levels.

Weekly column: Saturn-Neptune and the end of the Dollar’s 15-year bull cycle

Weekly column: Saturn-Neptune and the end of the Dollar’s 15-year bull cycle

Tariffs are not only inflationary for a nation but also risk undermining the trust and credibility that go hand in hand with the responsibility of being the leading nation in the free world and controlling the world’s reserve currency.

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