- This article, written by Patric Tengelin is taken from the FX Trader Magazine (JAN/MARCH 2013 issue).
In the stock market, the ultimate stock to day trade is whichever best fits your trading style and produces enough profits to buy 100 new shares faster than trading any other stock. We are market technicians and our favourite FX pair is the EUR/USD on the 30-minute chart. Technical analysis is not so much about the actual lines on the chart as it is trading the reaction of other traders at those lines.
By the end of this article you will have a clear understanding of how to eliminate the guesswork in trading and always be on the right side of the market.
This particular strategy will appeal to reactive traders who do not front run price action. The entries will be inferior but the hit rate superior. The equity curve will not be subject to the wild swings s o m e t i m e s experienced by anticipatory traders who constantly try to pick tops and bottoms but before we get into the meat of the strategy and when it is most profitable we need to make a few assumptions. We will list days when you should not trade at all and then talk about the time of day when you should look for setups. You will also learn about the key numbers for the EUR/ USD and how they constantly show up as support and resistance. Throughout the article we will give examples of the mechanics behind price movements and how to interpret price action, but let us first talk about indicators.
Editors’ Picks
EUR/USD falls toward 1.1700 on broad USD recovery
EUR/USD turns south and declines toward 1.1700 on Wednesday. The US Dollar gathers recovery momentum and forces the pair to stay on the back foor, as traders look to USD short-covering ahead of US inflation report on Thursday. However, the downside could be capped by hawkish ECB expectations.
GBP/USD trades deep in red below 1.3350 after soft UK inflation data
GBP/USD stays under strong selling pressure midweek and trades below 1.3350. The UK annual headline and core CPI rose by 3.2% each, missing estimates of 3.5% and 3.4%, respectively, reaffirming dovish BoE expectations and smashing the Pound Sterling across the board ahead of Thurday's BoE policy announcements.
USD/JPY jumps higher to near 155.50 as US Dollar outperforms; BoJ decision eyed
The USD/JPY pair gains 0.55% and jumps higher to near 155.50 during the European trading session on Wednesday. The pair strengthens as the US Dollar outperforms its peers, following the release of the United States Nonfarm Payrolls report for October and November.
Editors’ Picks
EUR/USD falls toward 1.1700 on broad USD recovery
EUR/USD turns south and declines toward 1.1700 on Wednesday. The US Dollar gathers recovery momentum and forces the pair to stay on the back foor, as traders look to USD short-covering ahead of US inflation report on Thursday. However, the downside could be capped by hawkish ECB expectations.
GBP/USD trades deep in red below 1.3350 after soft UK inflation data
GBP/USD stays under strong selling pressure midweek and trades below 1.3350. The UK annual headline and core CPI rose by 3.2% each, missing estimates of 3.5% and 3.4%, respectively, reaffirming dovish BoE expectations and smashing the Pound Sterling across the board ahead of Thurday's BoE policy announcements.
Gold clings to moderate daily gains above $4,300
Following Tuesday's volatile action, Gold regains its traction on Wednesday and trades in positive territory above $4,300. While the buildup in the USD recovery momentum caps XAU/USD's upside, the cautious market stance helps the pair hold its ground.
Bitcoin risks deeper correction as ETF outflows mount, derivative traders stay on the sidelines
Bitcoin (BTC) remains under pressure, trading below $87,000 on Wednesday, nearing a key support level. A decisive daily close below this zone could open the door to a deeper correction.
Monetary policy: Three central banks, three decisions, the same caution
While the Fed eased its monetary policy on 10 December for the third consecutive FOMC meeting, without making any guarantees about future action, the BoE, the ECB and the BoJ are holding their respective meetings this week.
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