Brandon Wendell, CMT
Brandon Wendell
Newer traders sometimes struggle when trying to identify supply and demand zones. My best advice is to practice and see if your zones are lining up with those identified by your instructors in the Extended Learning Track or the Pro Picks.
There is also an additional method to identify potential turning points in the markets. This method is not to replace identifying supply and demand, but is rather a way to supplement and perhaps to confirm those levels. This is not a magical tool that will work all the time. The tool/method I am talking about is floor trader pivot points.
The pivot points were created to give professional floor traders at exchanges a way to determine possible support and resistance without having to refer to charts. You may notice that I used the terms support and resistance rather than demand and supply as these are not the same things. The terms support and resistance refer to traditional technical analysis techniques and have been shown by many traders not to be as accurate as the patented supply and demand strategy from Online Trading Academy.
That being said, the support and resistance of pivot points may help to identify or even strengthen supply and demand zones found in your charts. The pivot point itself is simply the previous day’s high + the previous day’s low + the previous day’s close divided by three. This pivot point can act as a support or resistance level for price and can be applied to equities, Forex, and futures charts. Wait a minute! Not so fast, don’t the futures and Forex trade 24 hours a day? How can we get a close price? Actually, the trade price at 5:00PM New York time (EST) is used as the “closing time” for our calculations.
By using this pivot point number and some additional mathematical calculations, we can derive several additional support and resistance numbers. In fact, there are calculations for four support and resistance levels. We can use these pivot support and resistance as possible entry and target points for trading.
Some trading platforms automatically draw pivot points on your chart for you, but if you are creating your trading plans the night before you can easily add the pivots to your chart. There are several websites that will give you the pivot points. One that I like is www.mypivots.com. On the site there is a pivot point calculator where you can enter the numbers and receive the pivot points for any security.
Although the main use for the pivot points is intraday charting, you could plug in the weekly or even the monthly high, low, and close to determine the future support and resistance for swing and position trading. Remember, these pivot points should not take the place of the supply and demand zones that you visually identify on your charts. Those turning points were caused by the emotions of investors and traders and therefore carry more weight. These people will remember how they triumphed or were hurt at those price levels. Since pivot points do not carry those same emotions with them, they only work if traders believe they work and act in the same manner when price reached those levels.
Fortunately, they have gained enough popularity that they are almost a self-fulfilling prophecy on many stocks and markets. So, while not the end all, pivot points could help you determine the turning points of a stock, sector, index, currency, etc. This can be a valuable tool in your trading arsenal. So until next time, may all your trades be green and your losses small!
Neither Freedom Management Partners nor any of its personnel are registered broker-dealers or investment advisers. I will mention that I consider certain securities or positions to be good candidates for the types of strategies we are discussing or illustrating. Because I consider the securities or positions appropriate to the discussion or for illustration purposes does not mean that I am telling you to trade the strategies or securities. Keep in mind that we are not providing you with recommendations or personalized advice about your trading activities. The information we are providing is not tailored to any individual. Any mention of a particular security is not a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold that or any other security or a suggestion that it is suitable for any specific person. Keep in mind that all trading involves a risk of loss, and this will always be the situation, regardless of whether we are discussing strategies that are intended to limit risk. Also, Freedom Management Partners’ personnel are not subject to trading restrictions. I and others at Freedom Management Partners could have a position in a security or initiate a position in a security at any time.
Editors’ Picks
EUR/USD: US Dollar to remain pressured until uncertainty fog dissipates
Unimpressive European Central Bank left monetary policy unchanged for the fifth consecutive meeting. The United States first-tier employment and inflation data is scheduled for the second week of February. EUR/USD battles to remain afloat above 1.1800, sellers moving to the sidelines.
GBP/USD reclaims 1.3600 and above
GBP/USD reverses two straight days of losses, surpassing the key 1.3600 yardstick on Friday. Cable’s rebound comes as the Greenback slips away from two-week highs in response to some profit-taking mood and speculation of Fed rate cuts. In addition, hawkish comments from the BoE’s Pill are also collaborating with the quid’s improvement.
USD/JPY gathers strength to near 157.50 as Takaichi’s party wins snap elections
The USD/JPY pair attracts some buyers to around 157.45 during the early Asian session on Monday. The Japanese Yen weakens against the US Dollar after Japan’s ruling Liberal Democratic Party won an outright majority in Sunday’s lower house election, opening the door to more fiscal stimulus by Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi.
Editors’ Picks
USD/JPY gathers strength to near 157.50 as Takaichi’s party wins snap elections
The USD/JPY pair attracts some buyers to around 157.45 during the early Asian session on Monday. The Japanese Yen weakens against the US Dollar after Japan’s ruling Liberal Democratic Party won an outright majority in Sunday’s lower house election, opening the door to more fiscal stimulus by Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi.
Gold: Volatility persists in commodity space
After losing more than 8% to end the previous week, Gold remained under heavy selling pressure on Monday and dropped toward $4,400. Although XAU/USD staged a decisive rebound afterward, it failed to stabilize above $5,000. The US economic calendar will feature Nonfarm Payrolls and Consumer Price Index data for January, which could influence the market pricing of the Federal Reserve’s policy outlook and impact Gold’s performance.
AUD/USD eyes 0.7050 hurdle amid supportive fundamental backdrop
AUD/USD builds on Friday's goodish rebound from sub-0.6900 levels and kicks off the new week on a positive note, with bulls awaiting a sustained move and acceptance above mid-0.7000s before placing fresh bets. The widening RBA-Fed divergence, along with the upbeat market mood, acts as a tailwind for the risk-sensitive Aussie amid some follow-through US Dollar selling for the second straight day.
Week ahead: US NFP and CPI data to shake Fed cut bets, Japan election looms
US NFP and CPI data awaited after Warsh’s nomination as Fed chief. Yen traders lock gaze on Sunday’s snap election. UK and Eurozone Q4 GDP data also on the agenda. China CPI and PPI could reveal more weakness in domestic demand.
Three scenarios for Japanese Yen ahead of snap election Premium
The latest polls point to a dominant win for the ruling bloc at the upcoming Japanese snap election. The larger Sanae Takaichi’s mandate, the more investors fear faster implementation of tax cuts and spending plans.
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