Today I will be discussing trend lines - an effective support and resistance tool that I keep a close eye on. Traders diligently monitor these levels, as they do with horizontal support and resistance levels.
Simple trend lines (also known as ‘diagonal support’ and ‘resistance levels’) offer very precise entries into the market, when used correctly. They can be used on any time-frame, however, as with any other technical tool, the higher the time-frame the more weight that is added.
When it comes to using trend lines, many traders tend to get confused by where to draw them. This is usually because they have been told there is a lot of ambiguity when deciding on what swing point to start drawing from.
As a trader you must remember to use things that standout on a chart. If it’s clear to you, it will be clear to everyone else (especially the larger flows i.e. the guys that move the market).
When it comes to drawing trend lines, I generally look for three things:
1) I want to find two clear points to draw from on the higher time-frame charts. The clearer these are, the better.
2) I consider whether I am looking to trade with the trend or looking at a potential trend reversal.
If price is shooting down the page and I have a clear trend line in place, I generally feel very confident looking for a trade when it comes back to that area. If, however, price has respected the trend line in the past and has now broken and closed on the other side of the trend line (blue circle on chart), I will look to play the back-end retest. This is where resistance becomes support.
3) I recognize that the more touches a trend line has, the weaker it could be.
This is where it can get confusing to a new trader. I have a rule that I look to trade the third touch on the trend line. I generally find these offer the highest probability. If the trend line is attracting lots of attention (in terms of price continuously bouncing off), I use the line as a reference point using confluence (more on this in future articles).
Number three is the most important when it comes to trend lines in my trading.
Conclusion
There are two ways I look to use a trend line. The first is either as support or resistance in the direction of the trend or for the retest once price actually breaks and closes on the other side. The second option is more in line with anticipating a trend reversal.
Both of these options can give very accurate entries into the market. The best advice I can give is to open up a blank chart and just start drawing lines. The more you do it the easier it will become.
At no time should anyone view the information presented anywhere on this website as advice, recommendation or proven. Everything reflected is merely opinion and may not be accurate. The purpose of the site is to express the opinions and views of Jarratt Davis. There is no intention to offer specific help, advice or suggestions to anyone reading any of the content posted here.
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Editors’ Picks
EUR/USD weakens to near 1.1900 as traders eye US data
EUR/USD eases to near 1.1900 in Tuesday's European trading hours, snapping the two-day winning streak. Markets turn cautious, lifting the haven demand for the US Dollar ahead of the release of key US economic data, including Retail Sales and ADP Employment Change 4-week average.
GBP/USD stays in the red below 1.3700 on renewed USD demand
GBP/USD trades on a weaker note below 1.3700 in the European session on Tuesday. The pair faces challenges due to renewed US Dollar demand, UK political risks and rising expectations of a March Bank of England rate cut. The immediate focus is now on the US Retail Sales data.
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