JohnVIKTOR EPERJESY 
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• Current Job: Head of Business Development at Trade Proofer
• Career: Passionate about forex trading since college. Co-founder of Trade Proofer community. 

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As we all know, forex brokers' information sheets listing "target spreads" are not something traders can rely on when they trade around important economic events, like Non-Farm Payrolls. During these minutes spreads first fall apart and recover slowly afterwards as market calms down. As a courtesy of the TradeProofer community our readers can get a better picture of what has happened recently after the May non-farm payroll announcement. TradeProofer is a forex trader community aspiring to benchmark community members' uploaded quotes and trade executions in order to spot outlier trade executions or requotes. The below chart is based on their community data.

spreads brokers nfp eurusd

The chart shows how several brokers' EURUSD spreads looked at-around the NFP announcement, time is in GMT. The red line represents the most scrambled situation at 12:32, when aggregated spreads got the widest. The brokers are ordered by their 12:32 spreads, thus tightest brokers are on the left, least competitive brokers are on the right. Apparently, some brokers decided to sit on the bench until situation calmed down.

Limitations apply, however. Commissions are not taken into account so the chart does not reflect overall competitiveness of brokers, but rather an impression on how spread volatility unfolded and how particular brokers handle economic events. Also, a competitive quote doesn’t mean competitive fill price. Slippage due to low liquidity and/or latency is frequent especially around such events.

The next chart shows how EURSD spreads got somewhat wider right before the economic event, how they sky-rocketed right after the announcement and how they consolidated after a couple of minutes at a slightly higher level. The y axis shows the actual aggregated spread of 90+ brokers expressed in percentage of its 12:25 value. In plain English, the peak around 500% means that the monitored 90+ brokers’ spreads got 5x wider at the busiest time.

EURUSD spreads NFP may

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Editors’ Picks

EUR/USD holds firm above 1.1900 as US NFP looms

EUR/USD holds firm above 1.1900 as US NFP looms

EUR/USD holds its upbeat momentum above 1.1900 in the European trading hours on Wednesday, helped by a broadly weaker US Dollar. Markets could turn cautious later in the day as the delayed US employment report for January will takes center stage. 

GBP/USD remains above nine-day EMA near 1.3650

GBP/USD remains above nine-day EMA near 1.3650

GBP/USD recovers its recent losses from the previous session, trading around 1.3680 during the European hours on Wednesday. The technical analysis of the daily chart indicates a sustained bullish bias, as the pair trades within an ascending channel pattern.

USD/JPY remains heavy around 153.00 on firmer Japanese Yen

USD/JPY remains heavy around 153.00 on firmer Japanese Yen

USD/JPY is sustaining its three-day rout at around 153.00 in the European session on Wednesday, awaiting the closely-watched US NFP report. Rising bets on Fed rate cuts keep the US Dollar depressed. In contrast, expectations that PM Takaichi's policies will boost the economy and allow the BoJ to stick to its hawkish stance bolster the Japanese Yen, weighing on the pair amid intervention fears.


Editors’ Picks

EUR/USD holds firm above 1.1900 as US NFP looms

EUR/USD holds firm above 1.1900 as US NFP looms

EUR/USD holds its upbeat momentum above 1.1900 in the European trading hours on Wednesday, helped by a broadly weaker US Dollar. Markets could turn cautious later in the day as the delayed US employment report for January will takes center stage. 

USD/JPY remains heavy around 153.00 on firmer Japanese Yen

USD/JPY remains heavy around 153.00 on firmer Japanese Yen

USD/JPY is sustaining its three-day rout at around 153.00 in the European session on Wednesday, awaiting the closely-watched US NFP report. Rising bets on Fed rate cuts keep the US Dollar depressed. In contrast, expectations that PM Takaichi's policies will boost the economy and allow the BoJ to stick to its hawkish stance bolster the Japanese Yen, weighing on the pair amid intervention fears.

Gold sticks to gains near $5,050 as focus shifts to US NFP

Gold sticks to gains near $5,050 as focus shifts to US NFP

Gold holds moderate gains near the $5,050 level in the European session on Wednesday, reversing a part of the previous day's modest losses amid dovish US Federal Reserve-inspired US Dollar weakness. This, in turn, is seen as a key factor acting as a tailwind for the non-yielding yellow metal ahead of the critical US NFP release. 

US Nonfarm Payrolls expected to show modest job gains in January

US Nonfarm Payrolls expected to show modest job gains in January

The United States Bureau of Labor Statistics will release the delayed Nonfarm Payrolls data for January on Wednesday at 13:30 GMT. Investors expect NFP to rise by 70K following the 50K increase recorded in December.

S&P 500 at 7,000 is a valuation test, not a liquidity problem

S&P 500 at 7,000 is a valuation test, not a liquidity problem

The rebound from last week’s drawdown never quite shook the sense that it was being supported by borrowed conviction. The S&P 500 once again tested near the 7,000 level (6,986 as the high watermark) and failed, despite a macro backdrop that would normally be interpreted as supportive of risk.

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