• Tezos price action has already rallied 62% since mid-June.
  • XTZ price sees momentum building for a breakout. 
  • Cryptosummer looks limited with seasonality and Fed warnings hanging over price action.

Tezos (XTZ) price action is printing a staggering performance in just a slim two months with 62% gains after bouncing off $1.19 and nearing $2. Momentum and the daily price chart still point to more upside potential, but traders must bear in mind that the window of opportunity is starting to close as seasonality is set to kick in, with September known as the worst performing month for cryptocurrencies over a five-year track record. Additionally, several Fed members have come out these past few days and over the weekend and said that investors should not focus on early rate cuts at the beginning of 2023, as the Fed will keep hiking until inflation is near 2%, with no forward guidance and rate hikes projections heavily dependent on economic data.

XTZ price bears another 35% of gains

Tezos price action is like other major cryptocurrencies enjoying the hot crypto summer that goes hand in hand with the equity rally. More upside is probably still on the cards but there is also an expiration date on that rally. As we near mid-August, September is just around the corner, and historical data shows that September is often a very negative month for cryptocurrencies, giving a conscious trader an edge and advantage to trade the rally profitable and get out in time.

XTZ price sees higher lows and, on the top side, bears being pushed against the monthly R1 at $1.96. With that squeeze, a pop looks inevitable and could see XTZ price quickly printing $2 and possibly $2.20 near the monthly R2 by next week. The end game of the rally will probably be at $2.60, with the monthly R3 and the 200-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) as key bearish elements limiting any upside potential. With respect to the earlier mentioned seasonal effect, that level is projected to be reached by the end of August and beginning of September, before a correction and decline will unfold back towards $1.60 with the 55-day SMA as the backbone.

XTZ/USD Daily chart

XTZ/USD Daily chart

Possible risk to the downside could come simply from price action not being able to break through the monthly R1 at $1.96. That could coincide with remarks from Fed officials warning that markets are focusing too much on a goldilocks scenario with rate cuts in Q1 of 2023 and possible upside surprises in inflation data out of the US that would break the current risk-on sentiment. XTZ price would drop back towards the monthly pivot at $1.64, with the 55-day SMA at $1.60 as additional support to catch any falling knives.


Information on these pages contains forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. Markets and instruments profiled on this page are for informational purposes only and should not in any way come across as a recommendation to buy or sell in these assets. You should do your own thorough research before making any investment decisions. FXStreet does not in any way guarantee that this information is free from mistakes, errors, or material misstatements. It also does not guarantee that this information is of a timely nature. Investing in Open Markets involves a great deal of risk, including the loss of all or a portion of your investment, as well as emotional distress. All risks, losses and costs associated with investing, including total loss of principal, are your responsibility. The views and opinions expressed in this article are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the official policy or position of FXStreet nor its advertisers. The author will not be held responsible for information that is found at the end of links posted on this page.

If not otherwise explicitly mentioned in the body of the article, at the time of writing, the author has no position in any stock mentioned in this article and no business relationship with any company mentioned. The author has not received compensation for writing this article, other than from FXStreet.

FXStreet and the author do not provide personalized recommendations. The author makes no representations as to the accuracy, completeness, or suitability of this information. FXStreet and the author will not be liable for any errors, omissions or any losses, injuries or damages arising from this information and its display or use. Errors and omissions excepted.

The author and FXStreet are not registered investment advisors and nothing in this article is intended to be investment advice.

Recommended content


Recommended Content

Editors’ Picks

Bitcoin, crypto market remain in uptrend following 25 bps Fed rate cut

Bitcoin, crypto market remain in uptrend following 25 bps Fed rate cut

Fed Chair Jerome Powell stated that the FOMC lowered the Fed funds rate by 25 basis points. The rate cut comes after Bitcoin reached a new all-time high price upon Donald Trump's election victory. Ethereum and Solana also retained gains of 7% and 4%, respectively, following the rate cut.

More Cryptocurrencies News
XRP sees bullish momentum following $123 million increase in open interest

XRP sees bullish momentum following $123 million increase in open interest

XRP exchange reserves in Binance and Upbit have declined by nearly $13 million. In the past three days, investors opened over $123 million worth of XRP positions. XRP needs to overcome key descending trendline resistance to stage a rally to $0.6640.

More Ripple News
Coinbase launches wrapped Bitcoin token on Solana network

Coinbase launches wrapped Bitcoin token on Solana network

Crypto exchange Coinbase announced on Thursday that it has launched its synthetic Bitcoin token, cbBTC token, on the Solana network, marking its first token issuance on the Layer-1 platform. The new token will allow users to stake Bitcoin on Solana and use it as lending collateral.

More Cryptocurrencies News
Solana Price Forecast: Investors stake $1.3B SOL amid November winning streak

Solana Price Forecast: Investors stake $1.3B SOL amid November winning streak

Buoyed by Donald Trump's victory at the polls, the global crypto market entered its third consecutive day on an uptrend on November 7, 2024. Amid the ongoing rally, Solana emerged one of the biggest gainers on Thursday, as demand for native memecoins further propelled market demand for SOL. 

More Solana News
Bitcoin: New all-time high at $78,900 looks feasible

Bitcoin: New all-time high at $78,900 looks feasible

Bitcoin price declines over 2% this week, but the bounce from a key technical level on the weekly chart signals chances of hitting a new all-time high in the short term. US spot Bitcoin ETFs posted $596 million in inflows until Thursday despite the increased profit-taking activity.

Read full analysis
Best Forex Brokers with Low Spreads

Best Forex Brokers with Low Spreads

VERIFIED Low spreads are crucial for reducing trading costs. Explore top Forex brokers offering competitive spreads and high leverage. Compare options for EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/JPY, and Gold.

Read More

BTC

ETH

XRP