|

Polkadot Elliott Wave technical analysis [Video]

DOT/USD – Elliott Wave technical analysis

Function: Trend continuation.
Mode: Motive.
Structure: Impulse.
Position: Wave 3.
Direction next higher degrees: -
Wave cancel invalid level: -

DOT/USD trading strategy

Polkadot (DOT) continues to indicate a bullish reversal, having finished wave 2 as a Zigzag correction at the 50%–61.8% Fibonacci retracement level. The price action has now decisively crossed the bullish level, signaling a strong beginning of wave 3, which historically represents the most powerful part of the trend per Elliott Wave principles. The immediate upside target is $6.17. Traders should structure their buy strategies according to the ongoing wave pattern to ride the larger market movement.

  • Entry signal: Price breach above the bullish level at $4.40 indicates the start of wave 3.
  • Risk management: Price moving below the red support line (wave cancel invalid level) invalidates the current wave setup.

Trading strategies:

Strategy

  • For swing traders (short-term): Enter long positions after confirmation of a breakout above $4.40, targeting the next resistance at $6.17.

Risk management

  • Close positions if price moves below the key support/invalidation line.

DOT/USD – Elliott Wave technical analysis

Function: Trend continuation.
Mode: Motive.
Structure: Impulse.
Position: Wave 3.
Direction next higher degrees: -
Wave cancel invalid level: -

DOT/USD trading strategy

DOT’s bullish reversal aligns with Elliott Wave logic, following a completed wave 2 Zigzag pattern at a critical Fibonacci support area (50%–61.8%). The price has since broken the bullish level, affirming entry into wave 3. With a target near $6.17, short-term and medium-term traders can plan buy entries aligned with the wave direction for trend optimization.

  • Entry signal: Price moves past the bullish level of $4.40 to confirm wave 3.
  • Risk management: Breach below the red invalidation line negates the wave forecast.

Trading strategies:

Strategy

  • For swing traders (short-term): Trade with the momentum in wave 3 and watch for a pullback into wave 4 for further entries.

Risk management

  • Review the wave structure and exit positions if price falls below the invalidation level.

DOT/USD – Elliott Wave technical analysis [Video]

Author

Peter Mathers

Peter Mathers

TradingLounge

Peter Mathers started actively trading in 1982. He began his career at Hoei and Shoin, a Japanese futures trading company.

More from Peter Mathers
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

Crypto market outlook for 2026

Year 2025 was volatile, as crypto often is.  Among positive catalysts were favourable regulatory changes in the U.S., rise of Digital Asset Treasuries (DAT), adoption of AI and tokenization of Real-World-Assets (RWA).

Sberbank issues Russia's first corporate loan backed by Bitcoin

Russia's largest bank Sberbank launched the country's first Bitcoin-backed corporate loan to miner Intelion Data. The pilot deal uses cryptocurrency as collateral through Sberbank's proprietary Rutoken custody solution.

Bitcoin recovers to $87,000 as retail optimism offsets steady ETF outflows

Bitcoin (BTC) trades above $88,000 at press time on Tuesday, following a rejection at $90,000 the previous day. Institutional support remains mixed amid steady outflow from US spot BTC Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs) and Strategy Inc.’s acquisition of 1,229 BTC last week.

Traders split over whether lighter’s LIT clears $3 billion FDV after launch

Lighter’s LIT token has not yet begun open trading, but the market has already drawn a sharp line around its valuation after Tuesday's airdrop.

Orange Juice Newsletter – Smart insights by real people. Every day.

A free newsletter highlighting key market trends to help traders stay a step ahead. Daily insights on the most relevant trading topics, compiled by our experts in an easy-to-read format so you never miss an important move.

Bitcoin: Fed delivers, yet fails to impress BTC traders

Bitcoin (BTC) continues de trade within the recent consolidation phase, hovering around $92,000 at the time of writing on Friday, as investors digest the Federal Reserve’s (Fed) cautious December rate cut and its implications for risk assets.