|

Ethereum Price Analysis: Elliott Wave still projects price to move lower

  • ETH/USD trades nearly 2% lower as crypto sentiment takes another dive.
  • The Elliott Wave pattern might not have ended just yet.

ETH/USD 4-Hour Chart

I know there are lots of Fibs on this chart but they are colour coded for ease.

Blue is the long term daily Fib retracement - Red is the 4-Hour Fib retracement - Black is the 4-Hour Fib extension.

It seems that the 5 wave pattern higher is now over. 

The first Fib to keep an eye on is the Red one. The price stopped at 76.4% which is the waves 1-2. Essentially this is the lower high.

Now the bottom of that wave is broken and the price moved to the Black Fib extension level at 161.8%.

The important thing is that this matched up with the Blue 38.2% from the daily chart.

Now this has all happened where are we now?.

The wave 1-2 low cannot be exceeded to the upside if this is a new Elliott Wave pattern.

If it does then this is just an ABC consolidation phase. So all eye are now on 236.60. 

If that resistance holds then we could be in for a drop to lower levels. Keep an eyes on this one then.

Ethereum Elliott wave

Additional Levels

ETH/USD

Overview
Today last price224.26
Today Daily Change-3.26
Today Daily Change %-1.43
Today daily open227.52
 
Trends
Daily SMA20254.59
Daily SMA50204.86
Daily SMA100173.09
Daily SMA200179.13
 
Levels
Previous Daily High238.19
Previous Daily Low210.57
Previous Weekly High287.04
Previous Weekly Low237.24
Previous Monthly High186.73
Previous Monthly Low125.81
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%227.64
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%221.12
Daily Pivot Point S1212.67
Daily Pivot Point S2197.81
Daily Pivot Point S3185.06
Daily Pivot Point R1240.28
Daily Pivot Point R2253.04
Daily Pivot Point R3267.89

Author

Rajan Dhall, MSTA

Rajan Dhall is an experienced market analyst, who has been trading professionally since 2007 managing various funds producing exceptional returns.

More from Rajan Dhall, MSTA
Share:

Editor's Picks

Ripple bulls defend key support amid waning retail demand and ETF inflows

XRP ticks up above $1.40 support, but waning retail demand suggests caution. XRP attracts $4 million in spot ETF inflows on Thursday, signaling renewed institutional investor interest.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP rebound as risk appetite improves

Bitcoin rises marginally, nearing the immediate resistance of $68,000 at the time of writing on Friday. Major altcoins, including Ethereum and Ripple, hold key support levels as bulls aim to maintain marginal intraday gains.

Bitcoin Weekly Forecast: No recovery in sight 

Bitcoin price continues to trade sideways between $65,729 and $71,746, extending its consolidation since February 7. US-spot ETFs record an outflow of $403.90 million through Thursday, pointing to the fifth consecutive week of withdrawals.

Pi Network Price Forecast: PI recovery stalls amid profit-taking

Pi Network tests 50-day EMA support on Friday, after a 5% decline the previous day. PiScan data shows large deposits on CEXs totaling over 4 million PI tokens in the last 24 hours, reflecting an exodus of investors taking profits.

Bitcoin Price Annual Forecast: BTC holds long-term bullish structure heading into 2026

Bitcoin (BTC) is wrapping up 2025 as one of its most eventful years, defined by unprecedented institutional participation, major regulatory developments, and extreme price volatility.

Bitcoin: No recovery in sight

Bitcoin (BTC) price continues to trade within a range-bound zone, hovering around $67,000 at the time of writing on Friday, and falling slightly so far this week, with no signs of recovery.