|

Ethereum Classic Price Prediction: ETC quietly positions for a rally to $100

  • Ethereum Classic price locked in a channel along May’s declining trend line on the intra-day charts.
  • ETC 50-day simple moving average (SMA) containing the drift lower over the last two days.
  • Daily and weekly Relative Strength Indexes (RSI) no longer showing overbought readings.

Ethereum Classic price closed last week with a 45% decline, but it responded earlier this week with a 65% rally from the May 23 close, lifting the digital asset beyond May’s declining trend line. The ETC rebound did not introduce an overbought reading on any pertinent timeframe, projecting that the slow drift lower from the May 26 high is not the initial stage of a new leg lower. Instead, it is a quiet release of the compression provoked by the series of sharp declines and rebounds the preceding days.

Ethereum Classic price weighed down by broader crypto volatility and uncertainty

Ethereum Classic price made a statement on May 24, closing up 42.33%, the largest daily gain since May 2017. The historic recovery put bears on notice and paved the way for ETC to overcome the resistance introduced by May’s declining trend line.

No doubt, the ETC developments until May 23 were an extraordinary reversal of fortune for investors. On May 19, Ethereum Classic price collapsed 55% in a matter of hours and had erased 75% of ETC value from the all-time high on May 6 of $158.76. The deep correction followed a 1200% advance over the previous six weeks after breaking out from a symmetrical triangle at the beginning of April. Nevertheless, Ethereum Classic price is still on pace to close May with an 80% gain.

A positive outcome of the steep correction was removing the overbought readings on the daily and weekly Relative Strength Indexes. It has positioned Ethereum Classic price to overpower future resistance and, as a result, revive the larger rally into new highs.

A close above the upper trend line of the descending channel at $71.50 would spark a renewal of investor commitment, boosting Ethereum Classic price to the 200 four-hour SMA at $77.54. Once the intra-day moving average is discarded, ETC will locate notable resistance at the junction of the May 26 high at $84.08 with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement of the May decline at $85.36.

If Ethereum Classic price surmounts the $85.00 level, it will be unleashed to test the 50% retracement at $99.38 and the psychologically important $100.00, representing a 50% rally for the cheaper Ethereum.

Other resistance points are the 61.8% retracement at $113.94, the all-time high at $158.76 and finally, the 361.8% extension of the 2018-2019 correction at $161.33, offering a 140% gain for committed ETC investors.

ETC/USD 4-hour chart

ETC/USD 4-hour chart

The bullish vision for Ethereum Classic price will be undermined by a close below the channel’s lower trend line at $57.90. Further selling pressure will not collide with meaningful support until the 2018 high at $46.98. It would proclaim that ETC is building a more complex bottom, or the cryptocurrency is embarking a new leg lower, beyond the May 19 and May 23 lows.

The price action of ETH ultimately sways Ethereum Classic price. Based on the mixed outlook for Ethereum, it is fair to say that the aspirations for ETC to liberate from the descending channel may need a bit more patience.

Author

Sheldon McIntyre, CMT

Sheldon McIntyre, CMT

Independent Analyst

Sheldon has 24 years of investment experience holding various positions in companies based in the United States and Chile. His core competencies include BRIC and G-10 equity markets, swing and position trading and technical analysis.

More from Sheldon McIntyre, CMT
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

Dogecoin Price Forecast: DOGE breaks key support amid declining investor confidence

Dogecoin (DOGE) trades in the red on Thursday, following a 4% decline on the previous day. The DOGE supply in profit declines as large wallet investors trim their portfolios. Derivatives data shows a surge in bearish positions amid declining retail interest.

Cardano Price Forecast: ADA dips below $0.37, hitting two-month low as bearish momentum builds

Cardano (ADA) price trades in the red, slipping below $0.37 on Thursday after correcting more than 7% so far this week. The ongoing pullback could deepen further as ADA’s social dominance declines and dormant wallet activity rises, suggesting bearish sentiment among traders.

Top Crypto Losers: Pump.fun, SPX6900, Bittensor slide further with double-digit losses

Pump.fun (PUMP), SPX6900 (SPX), and Bittensor (TAO) are leading the losses in the cryptocurrency market over the last 24 hours amid total liquidations of over $500 million. The retail segment alleges institutional manipulation amid an early-morning Bitcoin sell-off routine in the US market.

Bitcoin, Ethereum whipsaw sparks heavy liquidations amid accusations of market manipulation

The crypto market whipsawed on Wednesday as top cryptocurrencies, including Bitcoin (BTC) and Ethereum (ETH), quickly reversed gains from the early American session.

Orange Juice Newsletter – Smart insights by real people. Every day.

A free newsletter highlighting key market trends to help traders stay a step ahead. Daily insights on the most relevant trading topics, compiled by our experts in an easy-to-read format so you never miss an important move.

Bitcoin: Fed delivers, yet fails to impress BTC traders

Bitcoin (BTC) continues de trade within the recent consolidation phase, hovering around $92,000 at the time of writing on Friday, as investors digest the Federal Reserve’s (Fed) cautious December rate cut and its implications for risk assets.