|

Cardano Price Forecast: ADA suffers from $900 million loss realization as prices bounce near $0.34

ADA price today: $0.37

  • ADA investors have booked over $900 million in losses in December.
  • Investors who bought ADA in the past 365 days are holding average losses of nearly 40%.
  • ADA is testing the resistance near $0.37 after bouncing off $0.34.

Loss realization among Cardano (ADA) holders increased sharply in December, marking one of its heaviest capitulation months since 2023. Since the beginning of the month, investors have realized over $900 million in losses as of Friday.

ADA Network Realized Profit/Loss. Source: Santiment

The move comes as bearish sentiment following the October 10 crash saw ADA erase all its gains from over the past 14 months.

With prices plunging toward $0.35, all ADA investors are holding an average loss of 40%. Notably, investors who bought the token in the past 365 days are also experiencing losses of a similar size.

As a result, most investors began cutting losses in December.

ADA MVRV Ratio & 365-day MVRV Ratio. Source: Santiment

Large holders fueled selling activity amid open interest contraction

On the spot market, the intense selling pressure majorly flowed from wallets holding 1M-10M ADA, as their collective holdings dropped by 130M ADA since the beginning of the month.

On the derivatives side, ADA's futures open interest remains subdued at around $657 million as of Friday, with market participants staying on the sidelines since the October 10 crash.

Cardano Open Interest. Source: Coinglass

ADA is trading at $0.37, up 4% at publication time on Saturday.

Cardano Price Forecast: ADA faces resistance at $0.37

ADA bounced off $0.34 and is testing the $0.37 resistance, near the upper boundary of the descending channel. The channel's resistance is strengthened by the 20-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA), which has proven a key hurdle since October 10.

ADA/USDT daily chart

A rise above the descending channel could see ADA test the $0.51 level, but it has to clear the 50-day EMA on the way up. On the downside, ADA could find support at $0.34.

The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is below its neutral level and testing its moving average line. Meanwhile, the Stochastic Oscillator (Stoch) is attempting to recover from oversold conditions.

Author

Michael Ebiekutan

With a deep passion for web3 technology, he's collaborated with industry-leading brands like Mara, ITAK, and FXStreet in delivering groundbreaking reports on web3's transformative potential across diverse sectors. In addi

More from Michael Ebiekutan
Share:

Editor's Picks

Solana Price Forecast: SOL drops below $100 as bears tighten grip

Solana (SOL) trades below $100 at press time on Wednesday, after taking a more than 6% hit the previous day as the broader cryptocurrency market slipped. Institutional and retail demand for Solana continues to decline, while on-chain data shows a record 150 million daily transactions on Tuesday.

Top 3 Price Prediction: Bitcoin, Ethereum, Ripple extend free fall amid broad market sell-off

Bitcoin (BTC), Ethereum (ETH), and Ripple (XRP) remain under pressure so far this week amid the broader market sell-off. BTC reached its lowest level since early November 2024 at $72,945.

Top Crypto Gainers: WLFI, ATOM, and JUP post mild gains amid market sell-off

World Liberty Financial, Cosmos, and Jupiter posted a mild recovery on Tuesday, defying the broader cryptocurrency market-wide sell-off. However, the technical outlook for WLFI and ATOM remains mixed as short-term recovery challenges the prevailing bearish momentum.

Toncoin Price Forecast: TON recovery supported by bullish derivatives, fading bearish momentum

Toncoin (TON) is extending its rebound, trading above $1.40 at the time of writing on Wednesday, after recovering 4.5% over the past two days, following last week’s massive correction. The derivatives data shows improving sentiment with rising long bets and funding rates turning positive.

Bitcoin Price Annual Forecast: BTC holds long-term bullish structure heading into 2026

Bitcoin (BTC) is wrapping up 2025 as one of its most eventful years, defined by unprecedented institutional participation, major regulatory developments, and extreme price volatility.

Bitcoin: BTC correction deepens as Fed stance, US-Iran risks, mining disruptions weigh

Bitcoin (BTC) price extends correction, trading below $82,000 after sliding more than 5% so far this week. The bearish price action in BTC was fueled by fading institutional demand, as evidenced by spot Exchange-Traded Funds (ETFs), which recorded $978 million in inflows through Thursday.