Can HBAR reach $0.2147? Technical analysis points to breakout above $0.195

HBAR, the native token of the Hedera Hashgraph network, is trading as of February 14, 2026 at approximately 0.10124 USD based on consolidated data from major market aggregators and technical platforms such as CoinMarketCap, TradingView, and Dexscreener. Over the past few weeks, price action has entered a consolidation phase following a bullish impulse recorded at the end of January, when HBAR successfully broke above the psychological resistance around 0.104 USD accompanied by a noticeable increase in trading volume.

The asset is currently fluctuating within a short-term range defined by support near 0.1075 USD and resistance around 0.1095 USD, showing volatility compression that typically precedes a significant directional move.

From a technical standpoint, the daily chart shows the 50-day exponential moving average positioned above the 100-day EMA, confirming that the intermediate trend structure remains bullish. The daily RSI is hovering around 59, indicating moderate buying pressure without entering overbought territory, which leaves room for further upside expansion.

The MACD remains in positive territory, although the histogram slope has slightly decreased, suggesting that momentum has cooled but has not reversed. On the 4-hour timeframe, a symmetrical triangle formation is visible, signaling accumulation, and the declining volume during consolidation supports the probability of an imminent breakout scenario.

Applying a linear regression model over the past 90 days combined with Fibonacci extension projections from the December 2025 low to the recent January 2026 high, the most probable scenario for the next four weeks points toward a move to 0.2147 USD, provided that price confirms a sustained breakout above 0.195 USD with increased volume. If the 0.175 USD support level fails, a corrective move toward approximately 0.1612 USD becomes likely, where the 200-day moving average converges with a notable liquidity cluster. 

My exact price prediction for March 31, 2026 places HBAR at 0.2147 USD under neutral to mildly bullish broader crypto market conditions. I am not a financial advisor and this prediction should not be considered financial advice.

Regarding updated blockchain-related news from February 2026, this month has been characterized by announcements focused on institutional expansion and infrastructure enhancements. During the first week of February, the Hedera Governing Council confirmed the addition of a new fintech entity from the Asian market, further strengthening council decentralization and expanding its presence in the APAC region. 

Additionally, a network upgrade aimed at optimizing the Hedera Token Service and reducing latency for high-frequency enterprise applications was announced, receiving positive feedback from ecosystem developers.