|

Bitcoin price prediction: BTC/USD increasing volume spells a breakout – Confluence Detector

  • The bulls are anxiously waiting for a correction above $3,900.
  • Bitcoin’s daily trading volume is still elevated above the $10 billion mark.
  • If the breakout fails and Bitcoin turns around, expect it to clear the support at $3,800 and move towards $3,700.

The cryptocurrency market is breaking out as I settle down to draft this incredible piece on the largest digital asset by market capitalization Bitcoin. The outlook of the market shows green everywhere with most cryptos recording gains between 05% and 5%. It is likely that cryptocurrencies led by Bitcoin will close the week trading in the green having corrected from the intraday lows.

The 4-hour BTC/USD shows Bitcoin trading at $3,884 after breaking past the 50 SMA resistance. The bulls are anxiously waiting for a correction above $3,900. A move that is likely to reignite further upwards movement towards $4,000.

Meanwhile, Bitcoin’s daily trading volume is still elevated above the $10 billion mark. The volume is defying the technical theory that investors lose interest amid periods of price consolidation. However, the current consolidation is likely to culminate in a breakout as far as the price-volume analysis shows.

As far as technical levels are concerned, the confluence indicator tool places the initial vital resistance at $3,894.51. This zone is host to a confluence of indicators including the 5 SMA 4-hour, the 100 SMA 15’chart, the 38.2% Fibonacci level daily chart, Bollinger Band middle curve 1-hour, the previous high 15’ chart, previous high 1-hour and the Bollinger Band 4-hour upper. A second hurdle is seen at $3.934.86 highlighted by the previous high 1-day, the pivot point 1-day R1 and the previous week.

Above this level, Bitcoin will face some of the weakest resistance zones. If supported by the high daily volume, we could see a breakout towards $4,200 allowing the bulls to stage another journey to $4,500.

Meanwhile, if the breakout fails and Bitcoin turns around, expect it to clear the support at $3,800 and move towards $3,700. There are other weak support levels at $3,854.27, $3,813.98, $3,773.69 and $3,733.39.



Get 24/7 Crypto updates in our social media channels: Give us a follow at @FXSCrypto and our FXStreet Crypto Trading Telegram channel

Author

John Isige

John Isige

FXStreet

John Isige is a seasoned cryptocurrency journalist and markets analyst committed to delivering high-quality, actionable insights tailored to traders, investors, and crypto enthusiasts. He enjoys deep dives into emerging Web3 tren

More from John Isige
Share:

Editor's Picks

Bitcoin slips below $90,000 as Trump's tariffs swing, ETF outflows pressure price

Bitcoin price struggles below $90,000 on Friday, correcting nearly 5% so far this week. Trump’s Davos speech on Wednesday, backing away from imposing further tariffs on the EU, triggered market volatility and risk-on mood.

Ripple holds losses above $1.90 amid mild ETF inflows, muted retail interest

Ripple is trading under pressure, hovering above the immediate support level at $1.90 at the time of writing on Friday. Despite mild inflows into spot ETFs, XRP has declined for a second consecutive day, reflecting weak retail demand and persistent selling pressure.

Pump.fun sees bearish reversal despite buyback

Pump.fun trades below $0.0025 at the time of writing on Friday, after a nearly 7% decline from the 50-day Exponential Moving Average at $0.002601. The recent purchase of over $1 million in PUMP tokens failed to revive retail support, as PUMP futures continue to see capital outflow.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP face elevated downside risk amid weak technical setups

Bitcoin is struggling to stay above support at $89,000 at the time of writing, as headwinds intensify across the cryptocurrency market on Friday. Ethereum and Ripple are facing low retail and institutional demand, while bearish indicators continue to flash subtle signals that losses may extend further.

Bitcoin Price Annual Forecast: BTC holds long-term bullish structure heading into 2026

Bitcoin (BTC) is wrapping up 2025 as one of its most eventful years, defined by unprecedented institutional participation, major regulatory developments, and extreme price volatility.

Bitcoin: BTC slips below $90,000 as Trump's tariffs swing, ETF outflows pressure price

Bitcoin (BTC) is trading below $90,000 at the time of writing on Friday, down nearly 5% this week. Despite a brief improvement in risk appetite following US President Donald Trump’s mid-week speech at Davos, the Crypto King remains under pressure as institutional demand continued to weaken so far this week.