|

Bitcoin price prediction: BTC/USD increasing volume spells a breakout – Confluence Detector

  • The bulls are anxiously waiting for a correction above $3,900.
  • Bitcoin’s daily trading volume is still elevated above the $10 billion mark.
  • If the breakout fails and Bitcoin turns around, expect it to clear the support at $3,800 and move towards $3,700.

The cryptocurrency market is breaking out as I settle down to draft this incredible piece on the largest digital asset by market capitalization Bitcoin. The outlook of the market shows green everywhere with most cryptos recording gains between 05% and 5%. It is likely that cryptocurrencies led by Bitcoin will close the week trading in the green having corrected from the intraday lows.

The 4-hour BTC/USD shows Bitcoin trading at $3,884 after breaking past the 50 SMA resistance. The bulls are anxiously waiting for a correction above $3,900. A move that is likely to reignite further upwards movement towards $4,000.

Meanwhile, Bitcoin’s daily trading volume is still elevated above the $10 billion mark. The volume is defying the technical theory that investors lose interest amid periods of price consolidation. However, the current consolidation is likely to culminate in a breakout as far as the price-volume analysis shows.

As far as technical levels are concerned, the confluence indicator tool places the initial vital resistance at $3,894.51. This zone is host to a confluence of indicators including the 5 SMA 4-hour, the 100 SMA 15’chart, the 38.2% Fibonacci level daily chart, Bollinger Band middle curve 1-hour, the previous high 15’ chart, previous high 1-hour and the Bollinger Band 4-hour upper. A second hurdle is seen at $3.934.86 highlighted by the previous high 1-day, the pivot point 1-day R1 and the previous week.

Above this level, Bitcoin will face some of the weakest resistance zones. If supported by the high daily volume, we could see a breakout towards $4,200 allowing the bulls to stage another journey to $4,500.

Meanwhile, if the breakout fails and Bitcoin turns around, expect it to clear the support at $3,800 and move towards $3,700. There are other weak support levels at $3,854.27, $3,813.98, $3,773.69 and $3,733.39.



Get 24/7 Crypto updates in our social media channels: Give us a follow at @FXSCrypto and our FXStreet Crypto Trading Telegram channel

Author

John Isige

John Isige

FXStreet

John Isige is a seasoned cryptocurrency journalist and markets analyst committed to delivering high-quality, actionable insights tailored to traders, investors, and crypto enthusiasts. He enjoys deep dives into emerging Web3 tren

More from John Isige
Share:

Editor's Picks

Ripple slides to $1.45 as downside risks surge

Ripple edges lower at the time of writing on Tuesday, from the daily open of $1.48, as headwinds persist across the crypto market. A short-term support is emerging at $1.45, but a buildup of bearish positions could further weaken the derivatives market and prolong the correction.

Bitcoin slips below $68,000 as defensive stance limits recovery

Bitcoin edges lower on Tuesday, extending consolidation in a trading range for over ten days. Market conditions remain defensive, with sustainable recovery depending on renewed spot demand, report says.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP upside looks limited amid deteriorating retail demand

The cryptocurrency market extends weakness with major coins including Bitcoin (BTC), Ethereum (ETH) and Ripple (XRP) trading in sideways price action at the time of writing on Tuesday.

Meme Coins Price Prediction: Bears push Dogecoin, Shiba Inu, Pepe to the ropes

Meme coins, including Dogecoin, Shiba Inu, and Pepe, are under pressure on Tuesday, extending Sunday’s decline. The derivatives data show substantial outflows from DOGE, SHIB, and PEPE futures Open Interest, primarily driven by long-side-skewed liquidations. 

Bitcoin Price Annual Forecast: BTC holds long-term bullish structure heading into 2026

Bitcoin (BTC) is wrapping up 2025 as one of its most eventful years, defined by unprecedented institutional participation, major regulatory developments, and extreme price volatility.

Bitcoin: BTC bears aren’t done yet

Bitcoin (BTC) price slips below $67,000 at the time of writing on Friday, remaining under pressure and extending losses of nearly 5% so far this week.